Genk
vs
Kortrijk
Garuda Lions Prediction: Genk
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Genk vs Kortrijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Genk vs Kortrijk
| Probability | Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.3% | 24.3% | 15.3% |
| Market | 64.7% | 20.5% | 14.7% |
| Final | 63.6% | 21.5% | 14.9% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% |
Why Genk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Genk vs Kortrijk match preview
Genk is favored to win against Kortrijk in their upcoming Jupiler Pro League match, with a probability of 63% for a home victory. The expected goals suggest a strong performance from Genk, projected at 1.85, while Kortrijk's expected goals stand at 0.83. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with a 12% probability.
Both teams have shown contrasting recent form, with Genk recording a mix of results including two wins in their last six matches (L-D-D-W-D-W), while Kortrijk has struggled significantly, losing five of their last six (W-L-L-L-L-L). The probabilities for over 2.5 goals sit at 50%, and both teams to score is at 49%, indicating a potential for a competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Genk and Kortrijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Genk and Kortrijk attack and defence ratings
Genk
Kortrijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV
- Zulte Waregem vs Gent
- Standard Liege v Charleroi — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — team news & stats
- KVC Westerlo v Antwerp — match page
- KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Genk vs Kortrijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genk | 63.6% | 1.57 | -4.4% | 1.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genk | 63.6% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Kortrijk | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Genk win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Genk vs Kortrijk stats
Genk and Kortrijk recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Genk and Kortrijk season so far
Genk record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kortrijk record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Genk vs Kortrijk head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-07 | Genk | Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Kortrijk | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Genk | Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Kortrijk | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2022-12-26 | Kortrijk | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Genk | Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-27 | Genk | Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-07 | Kortrijk | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2021-01-09 | Kortrijk | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2020-12-19 | Genk | Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Genk vs Kortrijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 20.5%, away 14.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.72 | 6.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.55 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.46 | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.53 | 7.03 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.13 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .