Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Genk vs Kortrijk

3 – 0 Full time

3′D. Heymans
13′H. Murray-Campbell
15′Shandre Campbell
24′Matthew Anderson
49′Shandre Campbell
49′Shandre Campbell
63′R. Durosinmi
68′B. TahirovicJ. Erenbjerg
68′A. PhillipsJ. van Landschoot
68′G. KoyalipouS. Ogbuehi
69′Joris Kayembe
76′R. DurosinmiA. Bibout
77′J. KayembeM. Roganovic
77′J. ItoJ. Afriyie
80′M. AndersonJ. Ndjeungoue
80′R. KohonM. Fofana
80′B. DejaegereL. De Smet
86′D. HeymansA. De Wannemacker

Cegeka Arena, GenkReferee: W. Smet

Genk 66%
Draw 20%
Kortrijk 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 4
10 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 4
576 Accurate passes 296

Genk vs Kortrijk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Genk vs Kortrijk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGenkDrawKortrijk
Model60.1%24.4%15.5%
Market67.9%18.8%13.3%
Final66.0%20.2%13.8%
Edge-2.0%+1.4%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Genk

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Genk ↓ / Kortrijk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Genk and Kortrijk expected goals

Genk 1.90
Kortrijk 0.93

Total expected goals: 2.83

Genk and Kortrijk attack and defence ratings

Genk

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Kortrijk

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Genk vs Kortrijk: result vs prediction

Genk 3 – 0 Kortrijk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Genk vs Kortrijk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Genk 66.0% 1.52 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score No 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.2% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.0% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Genk66.0%
Draw20.2%
Kortrijk13.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Both teams to scoreYes48.6%
No51.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.2%
12 (either side)79.8%
X2 (draw or away)34.0%
Handicap -1Genk win35.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss41.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.7%
1-111.6%
1-011.6%

Genk vs Kortrijk stats

Genk and Kortrijk recent form

newest first
Genk LDDWDW
Kortrijk DWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Genk and Kortrijk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Genk record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kortrijk record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Genk vs Kortrijk head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Genk wins 0Draws 3Kortrijk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-12-07GenkKortrijkJupiler Pro League3-2
2024-10-05KortrijkGenkJupiler Pro League2-1
2023-12-17GenkKortrijkJupiler Pro League4-0
2023-10-29KortrijkGenkJupiler Pro League0-3
2022-12-26KortrijkGenkJupiler Pro League1-0
2022-10-08GenkKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-1
2022-02-27GenkKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-0
2021-08-07KortrijkGenkJupiler Pro League1-2
2021-01-09KortrijkGenkJupiler Pro League2-1
2020-12-19GenkKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Genk vs Kortrijk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.9%, draw 18.8%, away 13.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 5.13 7.28
Bet365 1.36 4.75 6.50
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50
Betano 1.44 5.00 7.50
Betfair 1.33 5.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.40 5.20 7.00
Marathonbet 1.36 5.00 7.10
Pinnacle 1.40 5.06 7.78
SBO 1.36 4.46 6.09
William Hill 1.40 4.50 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▼ -0.06
X 5.00 ▲ +0.50
2 7.05 ▲ +0.95

14 snapshots recorded, from .