Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Club Brugge KV
vs
Genk
3 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | Carlos Forbs | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Forbs | ||
| 49′ | Rafiu Durosinmi | ||
| 58′ | Lee Han-beom | ||
| 63′ | Brandon Mechele | ||
| 64′ | Junya ItoJerry Afriyie | ||
| 64′ | Jeppe ErenbjergAaron Bibout | ||
| 66′ | Kyriani SabbeJorne Spileers | ||
| 68′ | Benjamin Tahirovic | ||
| 76′ | Noah Adedeji-SternbergAyumu Yokoyama | ||
| 76′ | Benjamin TahirovicDaan Heymans | ||
| 79′ | Hugo VetlesenFélix Lemaréchal | ||
| 79′ | Nicolo TresoldiRomeo Vermant | ||
| 83′ | Carlos ForbsTian Nai Koren | ||
| 84′ | Jan Virgili TenasMamadou Diakhon | ||
| 89′ | Kevin Amaromilan roganovic |
Club Brugge KV
59%
Draw
22%
Genk
19%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 504 | Accurate passes | 293 |
Club Brugge KV vs Genk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Genk
| Probability | Club Brugge KV | Draw | Genk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.0% | 23.7% | 19.3% |
| Market | 60.2% | 21.2% | 18.6% |
| Final | 59.4% | 21.8% | 18.8% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +2.5% | +0.6% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Club Brugge KV and Genk expected goals
Club Brugge KV
1.96
Genk
1.07
Total expected goals: 3.03
Club Brugge KV and Genk attack and defence ratings
Club Brugge KV
Attack
1.60 +60%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Genk
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Brugge KV vs Genk: result vs prediction
Club Brugge KV 3 – 0 Genk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Brugge KV vs Genk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 59.4% | 1.68 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 59.4% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Genk | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 43.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Club Brugge KV vs Genk stats
Club Brugge KV and Genk recent form
| Club Brugge KV |
WLWLWW |
| Genk |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Brugge KV and Genk going into this match
Club Brugge KV record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Genk record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Brugge KV vs Genk head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Club Brugge KV wins
1Draws
1Genk wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | Genk | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 3-5 |
| 2025-07-27 | Club Brugge KV | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Genk | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Club Brugge KV | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Genk | Club Brugge KV | Belgium Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Club Brugge KV | Genk | Belgium Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Club Brugge KV | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Genk | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-28 | Genk | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2024-04-24 | Club Brugge KV | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Brugge KV vs Genk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 21.2%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.51 | 5.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.65 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 4.40 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.58 | 5.22 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 4.21 | 4.57 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▲ +0.10
X
4.40 ▼ -0.20
2
5.00 ▼ -0.50
10 snapshots recorded, from .