Lommel United
vs
KV Mechelen
0 – 0 Full time
| 40′ | Tom Reyners | ||
| 45′ | Dennis Praet | ||
| 48′ | Simion Michez | ||
| 60′ | Juho TalvitieNiek Corthouts | ||
| 60′ | Cedric Van MeirvenneBenito Raman | ||
| 68′ | Nicolas RommensTristan Gooijer | ||
| 70′ | Mike Eerdhuijzen | ||
| 72′ | Stredair AppuahDjordje Gordic | ||
| 77′ | Simion MichezBill Leeroy Antonio | ||
| 77′ | Luc MarijnissenMassimo Decoene | ||
| 86′ | Bouke BoersmaMalcolm Bendele Lohunanu-Mbasi | ||
| 87′ | Fredrik HammarMarco Decherf | ||
| 90′ | Marco Decherf | ||
| 90′ | Jason Van Duiven |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 379 | Accurate passes | 310 |
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lommel United vs KV Mechelen
| Probability | Lommel United | Draw | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.3% | 19.3% | 11.5% |
| Market | 36.0% | 26.6% | 37.5% |
| Final | 44.3% | 24.7% | 31.0% |
| Edge | +33.3% | -7.3% | -26.0% |
Why Lommel United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lommel United below the model: +33.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lommel United and KV Mechelen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Lommel United and KV Mechelen attack and defence ratings
Lommel United
KV Mechelen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen: result vs prediction
Lommel United 0 – 0 KV Mechelen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lommel United | 44.3% | 2.26 | +33.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lommel United win | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lommel United | 44.3% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| KV Mechelen | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lommel United win | 47.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 30.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen stats
Lommel United and KV Mechelen recent form
| Lommel United |
LLWWLD |
| KV Mechelen |
LLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lommel United and KV Mechelen going into this match
Lommel United record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
KV Mechelen record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-23 | KV Mechelen | Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs | 0-4 |
| 2019-03-03 | Lommel United | KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2018-11-17 | KV Mechelen | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2018-09-29 | Lommel United | KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2018-08-17 | KV Mechelen | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 26.8%, away 37.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.68 | 3.57 | 2.54 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.48 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.68 | 2.60 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.10 | 2.41 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .