Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Union St. Gilloise
vs
Lommel United
5 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | Besfort Zeneli | ||
| 7′ | Relebohile Mofokeng | ||
| 26′ | Dries WoutersTimothy Eyoma | ||
| 42′ | Massire Sylla | ||
| 52′ | Louis Patris | ||
| 64′ | Relebohile MofokengIlan Hurtevent | ||
| 64′ | Guilherme SmithDenzel De Roeve | ||
| 65′ | Ilan Hurtevent | ||
| 68′ | Kevin Mac AllisterNikki Havenaar | ||
| 74′ | Stredair AppuahNiek Corthouts | ||
| 77′ | Besfort ZeneliRob Schoofs | ||
| 77′ | Mateo BiondicRaul Florucz | ||
| 82′ | Tom ReynersIsaiah Dada-Mascoll | ||
| 82′ | Don-Angelo KonaduTristan Gooijer | ||
| 88′ | Raul Florucz | ||
| 89′ | Lee David Johnson | ||
| 90′ | Raul Florucz |
Union St. Gilloise
70%
Draw
17%
Lommel United
13%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 3 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 449 | Accurate passes | 428 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United
| Probability | Union St. Gilloise | Draw | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 26.6% | 30.0% |
| Market | 79.0% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Final | 70.1% | 16.8% | 13.1% |
| Edge | -35.5% | +13.0% | +22.5% |
Why Union St. Gilloise
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United expected goals
Union St. Gilloise
1.62
Lommel United
1.31
Total expected goals: 2.93
Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United attack and defence ratings
Union St. Gilloise
Attack
1.59 +59%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Lommel United
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United: result vs prediction
Union St. Gilloise 5 – 0 Lommel United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 70.1% | 1.43 | -35.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 70.1% |
| Draw | 16.8% | |
| Lommel United | 13.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Union St. Gilloise win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.5% |
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United stats
Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United recent form
| Union St. Gilloise |
WWWDLW |
| Lommel United |
LWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United going into this match
Union St. Gilloise record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Lommel United record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Union St. Gilloise wins
3Draws
0Lommel United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-11 | Lommel United | Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2021-02-27 | Union St. Gilloise | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2020-12-13 | Lommel United | Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Union St. Gilloise | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2020-01-26 | Union St. Gilloise | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2019-11-23 | Lommel United | Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-26 | Union St. Gilloise | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2019-09-06 | Lommel United | Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2019-02-06 | Union St. Gilloise | Lommel United | Challenger Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2018-12-09 | Lommel United | Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 79.0%, draw 13.5%, away 7.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 7.35 | 13.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 7.10 | 14.00 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 6.95 | 12.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 7.42 | 12.52 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 5.99 | 10.12 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.19 ▼ -0.02
X
6.95 ▲ +0.18
2
12.52 ▲ +0.77
14 snapshots recorded, from .