Jupiler Pro League · 2026-09-12T18:45:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

1 – 1 Full time

25′			Davis Opoku
45′			Dante VanzeirBabatunde Jimoh Akinsola
48′			Siebe Schrijvers
62′			Erick NunesViggo Martens
63′			Steve NgouraKrys-Anthony Madou Kouassi
66′			Valy Konaté
70′			Siebe SchrijversWilliam Balikwisha
70′			Abdoul Karim TraoréShin Yamada
71′			Emmanuel Kakou
77′			Valy KonatéLucas Michal
78′			Emmanuel KakouAbdoul Kader Ouattara
81′			Lukas Mondele
90′			Robin MirisolaKyan Vaesen
90′			Oscar Gil Regaño
90′			Kyan Vaesen
90′			Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi

Den Dreef, HeverleeReferee: Bram Van Driessche, Belgium

OH Leuven

35%

Draw

26%

Cercle Brugge

39%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

10	Shots	13
2	Shots on target	3
43	Possession %	57
2	Corners	11
17	Fouls	18
0	Offsides	2
2	Saves	1
233	Accurate passes	316

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge overview

Garuda Lions analysis: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	OH Leuven	Draw	Cercle Brugge
Model	25.3%	25.7%	49.0%
Market	37.9%	26.3%	35.9%
Final	34.7%	26.1%	39.1%
Edge	-12.6%	-0.5%	+13.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Cercle Brugge

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.21.
The market prices Cercle Brugge below the model: +13.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

80%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge expected goals

OH Leuven

1.21

Cercle Brugge

1.74

Total expected goals: 2.95

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge attack and defence ratings

OH Leuven

Attack

0.61 -39%

Defence

1.35 +35%

Cercle Brugge

Attack

1.02 +2%

Defence

1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge: result vs prediction

OH Leuven 1 – 1 Cercle Brugge

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

KV Mechelen v Anderlecht — match page · 2026-09-11
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege · 2026-09-12
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp · 2026-09-13
Genk v Gent — match page · 2026-09-13
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

OH Leuven, previous: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven: odds and pick
OH Leuven, next: OH Leuven v RAAL La Louvière analysis
Cercle Brugge, previous: Cercle Brugge vs Gent prediction
Cercle Brugge, next: Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge: odds and pick

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Cercle Brugge	39.1%	2.55	+13.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%	1.76	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.0%	1.69	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.9%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.1%	1.96	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	OH Leuven	34.7%
	Draw	26.1%
	Cercle Brugge	39.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%
	Under 2.5	43.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.0%
	No	41.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	60.9%
	12 (either side)	73.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.3%
Handicap -1	Cercle Brugge win	27.2%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.6%
	Loss	51.1%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.1%
	1-2	9.6%
	0-1	8.0%

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge stats

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge recent form

newest first

OH Leuven	LLLLLL
Cercle Brugge	LLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge going into this match

league record before kick-off

OH Leuven record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Cercle Brugge record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2OH Leuven wins 3Draws 5Cercle Brugge wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-12-21	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	0-2
2025-11-08	Cercle Brugge	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	1-2
2024-12-22	Cercle Brugge	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	1-0
2024-08-18	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	1-1
2023-12-16	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	1-2
2023-10-07	Cercle Brugge	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	3-2
2023-02-10	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	0-0
2022-11-05	Cercle Brugge	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	2-1
2022-02-12	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	3-2
2021-07-31	Cercle Brugge	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 26.3%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.52	3.60	2.68
Bet365	2.45	3.40	2.55
BetVictor	2.45	3.60	2.60
Betano	2.52	3.55	2.67
Betfair	2.38	3.60	2.50
Marathonbet	2.46	3.52	2.62
Pinnacle	2.52	3.69	2.73
SBO	2.40	3.37	2.53
William Hill	2.50	3.40	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▼ -0.37

X 3.55 ▼ -0.05

2 2.60 ▲ +0.19

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-06T08:10:02Z.