Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
KVC Westerlo
vs
Standard Liege
4 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Norman Bassette | ||
| 56′ | Amando Lapage | ||
| 61′ | Rayan TouzgharSalieu Drammeh | ||
| 61′ | Dennis DargahiBruny Nsimba | ||
| 61′ | Bernard NgueneSylvester Jasper | ||
| 66′ | Bruny Nsimba | ||
| 71′ | Adnane Abid | ||
| 72′ | Shunsuke SaitoNikola Storm | ||
| 72′ | Isa SakamotoPape Daouda Diong | ||
| 77′ | Pape Daouda Diong | ||
| 81′ | Cameron CongreveThomas Van Den Keybus | ||
| 81′ | Norman BassetteLucas Mbamba-Muanda | ||
| 88′ | Tobias MohrRyan Fosso | ||
| 88′ | Marlon FosseyHenry Lawrence | ||
| 90′ | Thomas Van Den Keybus |
KVC Westerlo
34%
Draw
25%
Standard Liege
40%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 452 |
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
| Probability | KVC Westerlo | Draw | Standard Liege |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.5% | 21.8% | 55.7% |
| Market | 38.3% | 26.3% | 35.4% |
| Final | 34.4% | 25.2% | 40.5% |
| Edge | -15.8% | -4.5% | +20.3% |
Why Standard Liege
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Standard Liege below the model: +20.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege expected goals
KVC Westerlo
1.39
Standard Liege
2.23
Total expected goals: 3.62
KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege attack and defence ratings
KVC Westerlo
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.46 +46%
Standard Liege
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege: result vs prediction
KVC Westerlo 4 – 2 Standard Liege
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- KV Mechelen v Anderlecht — match page
- SK Beveren vs St. Truiden — team news & stats
- OH Leuven v Cercle Brugge — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
- Genk v Gent — match page
- Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi — team news & stats
- RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
Before and after this match
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Standard Liege | 40.5% | 2.47 | +20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KVC Westerlo | 34.4% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Standard Liege | 40.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Standard Liege win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-3 | 6.9% |
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege stats
KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege recent form
| KVC Westerlo |
WDLLLL |
| Standard Liege |
WWWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege going into this match
KVC Westerlo record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Standard Liege record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4KVC Westerlo wins
4Draws
2Standard Liege wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | KVC Westerlo | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | KVC Westerlo | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | KVC Westerlo | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | KVC Westerlo | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-10 | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 0-5 |
| 2024-04-20 | KVC Westerlo | Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 26.3%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 3.62 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.55 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 3.54 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.74 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 3.38 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.43 ▲ +0.04
X
3.54 ▼ -0.14
2
2.63 ▼ -0.14
14 snapshots recorded, from .