St. Truiden
vs
KVC Westerlo
0 – 2 Full time
| 36′ | Norman Bassette | ||
| 46′ | Cisse Sandra | ||
| 60′ | Ryotaro ArakiNathanael Mbuku | ||
| 71′ | Shunsuke SaitoNikola Storm | ||
| 71′ | Isa SakamotoPape Daouda Diong | ||
| 73′ | Norman Bassette | ||
| 73′ | Visar Musliu | ||
| 75′ | Kaito MatsuzawaOumar Diouf | ||
| 75′ | Abdoulaye SissakoNelson Ishiwatari | ||
| 75′ | Taiga HataJoedrick Pupe | ||
| 78′ | Norman BassetteDavid Amegnaglo | ||
| 78′ | Cameron CongreveNaoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 392 | Accurate passes | 380 |
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo
| Probability | St. Truiden | Draw | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 18.7% | 23.5% |
| Market | 54.9% | 23.7% | 21.4% |
| Final | 55.6% | 22.5% | 21.9% |
| Edge | +3.0% | -5.0% | +2.1% |
Why St. Truiden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.75 vs 1.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices St. Truiden below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.53
St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo attack and defence ratings
St. Truiden
KVC Westerlo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo: result vs prediction
St. Truiden 0 – 2 KVC Westerlo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 55.6% | 1.80 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 55.6% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| KVC Westerlo | 21.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.4% |
| No | 21.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Truiden win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.2% |
| 3-1 | 6.6% | |
| 2-2 | 6.5% |
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo stats
St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo recent form
| St. Truiden |
LWLWLW |
| KVC Westerlo |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo going into this match
St. Truiden record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
KVC Westerlo record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 0-4 |
| 2025-09-14 | St. Truiden | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 |
| 2025-07-05 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-11 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-26 | St. Truiden | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-31 | St. Truiden | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | St. Truiden | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-10 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 3-3 |
| 2023-07-01 | KVC Westerlo | St. Truiden | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 23.7%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.97 | 4.78 |
| SBO | 1.68 | 3.91 | 3.91 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .