Jupiler Pro League · 2026-09-12T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden

2 – 0 Full time

52′			Chris Lokesa
55′			Jearl Margaritha
57′			Ryotaro ArakiNathanael Mbuku
64′			Moïse Elohim Victoire KaboréArno Verschueren
69′			Kaito MatsuzawaOumar Diouf
69′			Wolke JanssensJoedrick Pupe
79′			Chris LokesaFerre Slegers
84′			Christophe Janssens
86′			Ferre Slegers
89′			Ilias SebaouiShion Shinkawa

Freethiel Stadion, BeverenReferee: Kevin van Damme, Belgium

SK Beveren

34%

Draw

26%

St. Truiden

41%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

11	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	0
40	Possession %	60
1	Corners	4
7	Fouls	8
4	Offsides	2
0	Saves	3
301	Accurate passes	472

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SK Beveren vs St. Truiden

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	SK Beveren	Draw	St. Truiden
Model	43.3%	23.2%	33.5%
Market	30.7%	26.5%	42.8%
Final	33.8%	25.6%	40.5%
Edge	+12.6%	-3.3%	-9.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

71%

No goals

SK Beveren and St. Truiden expected goals

SK Beveren

1.97

St. Truiden

1.72

Total expected goals: 3.69

SK Beveren and St. Truiden attack and defence ratings

SK Beveren

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

1.00 +0%

St. Truiden

Attack

1.37 +37%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden: result vs prediction

SK Beveren 2 – 0 St. Truiden

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

KV Mechelen v Anderlecht — match page · 2026-09-11
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege · 2026-09-12
OH Leuven v Cercle Brugge — match page · 2026-09-12
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp · 2026-09-13
Genk v Gent — match page · 2026-09-13
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

SK Beveren, previous: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven: odds and pick
SK Beveren, next: Kortrijk – SK Beveren, 2026-09-20
St. Truiden, previous: St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière: odds and pick
St. Truiden, next: St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo: odds and pick

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	St. Truiden	40.5%	2.47	-9.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.3%	1.40	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	71.5%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.4%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	66.5%	1.50	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	SK Beveren	33.8%
	Draw	25.6%
	St. Truiden	40.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.3%
	Under 2.5	28.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	71.5%
	No	28.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	59.5%
	12 (either side)	74.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	66.2%
Handicap -1	St. Truiden win	17.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.3%
	Loss	66.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.3%
	2-1	8.3%
	1-2	7.3%

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden stats

SK Beveren and St. Truiden recent form

newest first

SK Beveren	WLLWLW
St. Truiden	WLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SK Beveren and St. Truiden going into this match

league record before kick-off

SK Beveren record

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

St. Truiden record

They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3SK Beveren wins 3Draws 4St. Truiden wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2021-04-06	SK Beveren	St. Truiden	Jupiler Pro League	2-4
2020-11-28	St. Truiden	SK Beveren	Jupiler Pro League	1-1
2020-07-30	St. Truiden	SK Beveren	Friendlies Clubs	4-1
2019-12-26	SK Beveren	St. Truiden	Jupiler Pro League	1-0
2019-09-14	St. Truiden	SK Beveren	Jupiler Pro League	1-1
2019-02-09	St. Truiden	SK Beveren	Jupiler Pro League	2-1
2018-08-18	SK Beveren	St. Truiden	Jupiler Pro League	2-2
2018-01-20	SK Beveren	St. Truiden	Jupiler Pro League	3-1
2017-08-26	St. Truiden	SK Beveren	Jupiler Pro League	1-0
2016-12-20	SK Beveren	St. Truiden	Jupiler Pro League	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SK Beveren vs St. Truiden odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.7%, draw 26.5%, away 42.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	3.21	3.48	2.23
Bet365	3.00	3.30	2.15
BetVictor	2.90	3.60	2.15
Betano	3.10	3.65	2.20
Betfair	2.88	3.60	2.10
Marathonbet	3.14	3.40	2.18
Pinnacle	3.26	3.48	2.25
SBO	2.85	3.34	2.00
William Hill	3.00	3.50	2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▲ +0.37

X 3.48 ▼ -0.18

2 2.15 ▼ -0.39

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.