Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Zulte Waregem
vs
Charleroi
0 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | Jakob Napoleon Romsaas | ||
| 63′ | Aurelien ScheidlerAdama Bojang | ||
| 64′ | Freddy MbembaGaku Nawata | ||
| 71′ | Patrick PflückeTriston Rowe | ||
| 71′ | Amine BoukamirIsaac Cisse | ||
| 74′ | Franz TangalaMalick Mbaye | ||
| 76′ | István ÁtrokTobias Hedl | ||
| 80′ | Isaac Cisse | ||
| 81′ | Ousseynou Niang | ||
| 83′ | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof | ||
| 83′ | Thomas ClaesSerxho Ujka | ||
| 84′ | Yannick CappelleYoussoupha Mbodji | ||
| 84′ | Marley AkéHemsley Akpa-Chukwu | ||
| 86′ | Kevin Van Den KerkhofMassamba Sow | ||
| 90′ | Adama Bojang |
Zulte Waregem
37%
Draw
29%
Charleroi
34%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 381 | Accurate passes | 426 |
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi
| Probability | Zulte Waregem | Draw | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 28.5% | 25.4% |
| Market | 34.3% | 28.6% | 37.1% |
| Final | 37.3% | 28.6% | 34.2% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -0.1% | -11.6% |
Why Zulte Waregem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.05.
- The market prices Zulte Waregem below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Zulte Waregem and Charleroi expected goals
Zulte Waregem
1.49
Charleroi
1.05
Total expected goals: 2.53
Zulte Waregem and Charleroi attack and defence ratings
Zulte Waregem
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Charleroi
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi: result vs prediction
Zulte Waregem 0 – 1 Charleroi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 37.3% | 2.68 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 37.3% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Charleroi | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zulte Waregem win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi stats
Zulte Waregem and Charleroi recent form
| Zulte Waregem |
WDWDWW |
| Charleroi |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zulte Waregem and Charleroi going into this match
Zulte Waregem record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Charleroi record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Zulte Waregem wins
3Draws
4Charleroi wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Zulte Waregem | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Charleroi | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-13 | Charleroi | Zulte Waregem | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Charleroi | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Zulte Waregem | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2022-06-29 | Zulte Waregem | Charleroi | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Charleroi | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2021-08-22 | Zulte Waregem | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2021-07-10 | Zulte Waregem | Charleroi | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2021-02-07 | Charleroi | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 28.7%, away 36.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.32 | 2.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.24 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.36 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.08 | 2.43 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▼ -0.01
X
3.24 ▼ -0.21
2
2.50 ▲ +0.02
14 snapshots recorded, from .