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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem

0 – 2 Full time

35′Franz Tangala
42′Marley Aké
45′Serxho UjkaMalick Mbaye
55′Harrison Murray-Campbell
57′Anosike Ementa
62′Rok Storman
63′Laurent Lemoine
66′Tobias HedlIstván Átrok
66′Franz TangalaBenoit De Jaegere
76′Goduine KoyalipouJellert Van Landschoot
76′Suf·PodgoreanuBasile Vroninks
76′Brecht DejaegereBoris Lambert
85′Thomas ClaesHemsley Akpa-Chukwu
90′Hemsley Akpa-Chukwu
90′István Átrok
90′Thierry Ambrose
90′Enrique Lofolomo
90′Rudy Kohon

Guldensporenstadion, KortrijkReferee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium

Kortrijk 28%
Draw 26%
Zulte Waregem 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
43 Possession % 57
6 Corners 6
10 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
316 Accurate passes 303

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKortrijkDrawZulte Waregem
Model16.1%22.5%61.4%
Market31.8%26.7%41.4%
Final27.9%25.7%46.4%
Edge-15.7%-4.2%+19.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Zulte Waregem

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Zulte Waregem below the model: +19.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kortrijk ↓ / Zulte Waregem → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 7% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem expected goals

Kortrijk 0.97
Zulte Waregem 2.06

Total expected goals: 3.03

Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem attack and defence ratings

Kortrijk

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Zulte Waregem

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem: result vs prediction

Kortrijk 0 – 2 Zulte Waregem

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zulte Waregem 46.4% 2.15 +19.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.3% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.2% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Zulte Waregem win 38.8% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kortrijk27.9%
Draw25.7%
Zulte Waregem46.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.2%
No44.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.6%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)72.1%
Handicap -1Zulte Waregem win38.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss38.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
0-210.2%
1-29.9%

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem stats

Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem recent form

newest first
Kortrijk LLLLWL
Zulte Waregem DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Kortrijk wins 4Draws 2Zulte Waregem wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-24Zulte WaregemKortrijkJupiler Pro League3-3
2022-10-15KortrijkZulte WaregemJupiler Pro League1-3
2022-02-19KortrijkZulte WaregemJupiler Pro League5-0
2021-09-25Zulte WaregemKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-2
2021-02-27KortrijkZulte WaregemJupiler Pro League1-2
2020-11-02Zulte WaregemKortrijkJupiler Pro League1-1
2020-02-29Zulte WaregemKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-2
2019-10-19KortrijkZulte WaregemJupiler Pro League2-0
2018-12-26KortrijkZulte WaregemJupiler Pro League4-2
2018-09-21Zulte WaregemKortrijkJupiler Pro League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.3%, draw 26.9%, away 41.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.88 3.50 2.30
1xBet 3.03 3.53 2.30
Bet365 2.88 3.30 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 3.60 2.25
Betano 3.30 3.50 2.15
Betfair 3.00 3.60 2.00
Dafabet 3.25 3.60 2.17
Marathonbet 2.96 3.45 2.25
Pinnacle 3.05 3.54 2.36
SBO 2.88 3.14 2.06
Superbet 3.25 3.55 2.17
Unibet 3.30 3.50 2.06
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.93 ▲ +0.05
X 3.49 ▼ -0.01
2 2.25 ▼ -0.10

9 snapshots recorded, from .