Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Anderlecht vs Genk

0 – 0 Full time

20′Oliver Antman
45′Ayumu YokoyamaNoah Adedeji-Sternberg
54′Ilias KoutsoupiasEnric Llansana
59′Marco Kana
65′Tawfik BentayebMihajlo Cvetkovic
65′Danylo SikanMarten Winkler
65′Noa OjeaLukas Ambros
70′Jeppe ErenbjergDaan Heymans
70′Rafiu DurosinmiAaron Bibout
79′Ibrahima Sory BangouraBenjamin Tahirovic
81′Joris KayembeYaimar Medina
84′Oliver AntmanTristan Degreef
88′Yaimar Medina

Lotto Park, BrusselsReferee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium

Anderlecht 41%
Draw 26%
Genk 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
54 Possession % 46
4 Corners 2
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 5
2 Saves 4
481 Accurate passes 419

Anderlecht vs Genk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anderlecht vs Genk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnderlechtDrawGenk
Model36.1%26.5%37.4%
Market42.7%25.9%31.5%
Final41.0%26.0%33.0%
Edge-6.5%+0.6%+5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Anderlecht

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anderlecht ↓ / Genk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 6% 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Anderlecht and Genk expected goals

Anderlecht 1.49
Genk 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.01

Anderlecht and Genk attack and defence ratings

Anderlecht

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Genk

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Anderlecht vs Genk: result vs prediction

Anderlecht 0 – 0 Genk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Anderlecht vs Genk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Anderlecht 41.0% 2.44 -6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.9% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anderlecht41.0%
Draw26.0%
Genk33.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.0%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Anderlecht win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss63.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

Anderlecht vs Genk stats

Anderlecht and Genk recent form

newest first
Anderlecht WLWWLW
Genk WDWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anderlecht and Genk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Anderlecht record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Anderlecht vs Genk head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Anderlecht wins 1Draws 6Genk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08GenkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-0
2025-12-04GenkAnderlechtBelgium Cup1-3
2025-09-14AnderlechtGenkJupiler Pro League1-1
2025-05-25GenkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-1
2025-04-06AnderlechtGenkJupiler Pro League1-2
2024-12-22GenkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-0
2024-09-17AnderlechtGenkJupiler Pro League0-2
2024-05-11AnderlechtGenkJupiler Pro League2-1
2024-04-20GenkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-1
2023-12-23AnderlechtGenkJupiler Pro League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anderlecht vs Genk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 26.2%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.45 3.55 2.62
1xBet 2.25 3.66 3.03
Bet365 2.15 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.70 3.00
Betano 2.42 3.45 2.87
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.63
Dafabet 2.43 3.55 2.80
Marathonbet 2.20 3.58 2.96
Pinnacle 2.25 3.76 3.09
SBO 2.21 3.19 2.61
Superbet 2.42 3.50 2.82
Unibet 2.55 3.45 2.55
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.22
X 3.63 ▼ -0.03
2 2.98 ▲ +0.28

10 snapshots recorded, from .