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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Genk vs SK Beveren

4 – 0 Full time

Cegeka Arena, GenkReferee: Bert Verbeke, Netherlands

Genk 56%
Draw 22%
SK Beveren 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Genk vs SK Beveren overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Genk vs SK Beveren

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGenkDrawSK Beveren
Model34.6%24.6%40.7%
Market62.7%21.4%15.9%
Final55.7%22.2%22.1%
Edge-28.1%+3.3%+24.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Genk ↓ / SK Beveren → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Genk and SK Beveren expected goals

Genk 1.61
SK Beveren 1.76

Total expected goals: 3.37

Genk and SK Beveren attack and defence ratings

Genk

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.04 +4%

SK Beveren

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Genk vs SK Beveren: result vs prediction

Genk 4 – 0 SK Beveren

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Genk vs SK Beveren markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Genk 55.7% 1.80 -28.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.4% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Genk55.7%
Draw22.2%
SK Beveren22.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.5%
Under 2.534.5%
Both teams to scoreYes67.3%
No32.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.9%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1Genk win17.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss65.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
1-28.6%
2-17.9%

Genk vs SK Beveren stats

Genk and SK Beveren recent form

newest first
Genk DWLDWD
SK Beveren LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Genk and SK Beveren going into this match

league record before kick-off

SK Beveren record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Genk vs SK Beveren head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

7Genk wins 2Draws 0SK Beveren wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-08GenkSK BeverenFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-10-30SK BeverenGenkBelgium Cup0-2
2020-12-27GenkSK BeverenJupiler Pro League1-1
2020-10-03SK BeverenGenkJupiler Pro League1-1
2019-12-14GenkSK BeverenJupiler Pro League4-1
2019-08-17SK BeverenGenkJupiler Pro League0-4
2019-02-02SK BeverenGenkJupiler Pro League1-2
2018-08-26GenkSK BeverenJupiler Pro League3-2
2018-03-03SK BeverenGenkJupiler Pro League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Genk vs SK Beveren odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 21.4%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 4.33 6.00
1xBet 1.52 4.50 6.04
Bet365 1.45 4.00 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.40 5.75
Betano 1.52 4.45 6.10
Betfair 1.44 4.33 5.50
Dafabet 1.50 4.60 6.00
Marathonbet 1.48 4.40 5.90
Pinnacle 1.50 4.58 5.89
Superbet 1.50 4.60 5.85
Unibet 1.47 4.20 6.40
William Hill 1.50 4.20 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.22
X 4.40 ▲ +0.64
2 5.89 ▲ +0.93

7 snapshots recorded, from .