RAAL La Louvière
vs
KV Mechelen
2 – 2 Full time
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen
| Probability | RAAL La Louvière | Draw | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.2% | 24.0% | 24.7% |
| Market | 39.5% | 29.7% | 30.8% |
| Final | 42.4% | 28.3% | 29.3% |
| Edge | +11.8% | -5.7% | -6.1% |
Why RAAL La Louvière
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices RAAL La Louvière below the model: +11.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen attack and defence ratings
RAAL La Louvière
KV Mechelen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen: result vs prediction
RAAL La Louvière 2 – 2 KV Mechelen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RAAL La Louvière | 42.4% | 2.36 | +11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RAAL La Louvière | 42.4% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| KV Mechelen | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | RAAL La Louvière win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen stats
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen recent form
| RAAL La Louvière |
LLLWLL |
| KV Mechelen |
LDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen going into this match
KV Mechelen record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | RAAL La Louvière | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | KV Mechelen | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-30 | KV Mechelen | RAAL La Louvière | Belgium Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 29.7%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.33 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.16 | 3.13 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.08 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.13 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 2.97 | 2.77 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .