Union St. Gilloise
vs
Anderlecht
3 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | Massire Sylla | ||
| 38′ | B. Zeneli | ||
| 45′ | Giulian Biancone | ||
| 45′ | M. Biondic | ||
| 56′ | J. Nga KanaO. Antman | ||
| 62′ | Marco Kana | ||
| 70′ | L. PatrisD. De Roeve | ||
| 70′ | K. RodriguezR. Florucz | ||
| 70′ | L. AugustinssonM. N'Diaye | ||
| 70′ | M. KanaM. Winkler | ||
| 78′ | Kevin Mac Allister | ||
| 79′ | D. SikanT. Bentayeb | ||
| 79′ | L. AmbrosN. Ojea | ||
| 80′ | A. ZorganeR. Schoofs | ||
| 81′ | R. Florucz | ||
| 87′ | B. ZeneliN. Havenaar | ||
| 87′ | M. BiondicR. Mofokeng |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 303 | Accurate passes | 354 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht
| Probability | Union St. Gilloise | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 22.5% | 26.0% |
| Market | 55.6% | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| Final | 54.6% | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -1.9% | +6.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.55
Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: result vs prediction
Union St. Gilloise 3 – 0 Anderlecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 54.6% | 1.83 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union St. Gilloise | 54.6% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Anderlecht | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Union St. Gilloise win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht stats
Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht recent form
| Union St. Gilloise |
DLWDWD |
| Anderlecht |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht going into this match
Anderlecht record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Union St. Gilloise | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 5-1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Union St. Gilloise | Anderlecht | Belgium Cup | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Anderlecht | Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Anderlecht | Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Union St. Gilloise | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 24.4%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.85 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.89 | 4.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.82 | 4.76 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.48 | 4.26 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.85 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .