KVC Westerlo
vs
Zulte Waregem
2 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | S. Saito | ||
| 25′ | T. Hedl | ||
| 48′ | N. Bassette | ||
| 63′ | T. Hedl | ||
| 66′ | Z. AtrokM. Mbaye | ||
| 73′ | N. BassetteI. Sakamoto | ||
| 77′ | D. OuregaL. Flo | ||
| 79′ | Y. CappelleY. Mbodji | ||
| 82′ | Lasse Flø | ||
| 83′ | T. HedlS. Ujka | ||
| 87′ | C. CongreveT. Van den Keybus | ||
| 87′ | S. SaitoD. Jochem |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 391 | Accurate passes | 299 |
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
| Probability | KVC Westerlo | Draw | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.1% | 16.1% | 73.8% |
| Market | 32.7% | 25.4% | 41.9% |
| Final | 27.1% | 23.1% | 49.8% |
| Edge | -22.7% | -9.3% | +32.0% |
Why Zulte Waregem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Zulte Waregem below the model: +32.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem attack and defence ratings
KVC Westerlo
Zulte Waregem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem: result vs prediction
KVC Westerlo 2 – 2 Zulte Waregem
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Genk v SK Beveren — match page
- RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen — team news & stats
- Kortrijk vs Charleroi
- OH Leuven v Standard Liege — match page
- Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- Gent vs Club Brugge KV
- Antwerp v St. Truiden — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht — team news & stats
Before and after this match
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 49.8% | 2.01 | +32.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zulte Waregem win | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KVC Westerlo | 27.1% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Zulte Waregem | 49.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zulte Waregem win | 53.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 26.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-3 | 8.4% |
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem stats
KVC Westerlo and Zulte Waregem recent form
| KVC Westerlo |
LLLLLW |
| Zulte Waregem |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Zulte Waregem | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | KVC Westerlo | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 25.4%, away 41.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.85 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.91 | 3.68 | 2.31 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.75 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 3.60 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.72 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.35 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.65 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .