Garuda Lions
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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren

4 – 0 Full time

Elindus Arena, WaregemReferee: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium

Zulte Waregem 41%
Draw 27%
SK Beveren 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZulte WaregemDrawSK Beveren
Model26.8%27.6%45.6%
Market45.9%26.8%27.2%
Final41.2%27.0%31.8%
Edge-19.1%+0.8%+18.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zulte Waregem ↓ / SK Beveren → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren expected goals

Zulte Waregem 1.14
SK Beveren 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.70

Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren attack and defence ratings

Zulte Waregem

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.83 -17%

SK Beveren

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren: result vs prediction

Zulte Waregem 4 – 0 SK Beveren

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zulte Waregem 41.2% 2.43 -19.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.2% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zulte Waregem41.2%
Draw27.0%
SK Beveren31.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%
Both teams to scoreYes55.0%
No45.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.2%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1Zulte Waregem win11.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss73.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-29.3%
0-19.3%

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren stats

Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren recent form

newest first
Zulte Waregem DWWWWW
SK Beveren WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren going into this match

league record before kick-off

SK Beveren record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 26.8%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.05 3.55 3.30
1xBet 2.04 3.60 3.60
888Sport 2.05 3.30 3.30
Bet365 1.95 3.50 3.30
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.50
Betano 2.07 3.55 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.50 3.25
Dafabet 2.09 3.55 3.45
Marathonbet 1.99 3.52 3.52
Pinnacle 2.04 3.63 3.72
SBO 2.01 3.18 3.16
Superbet 2.10 3.50 3.45
Unibet 2.06 3.35 3.45
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.