Antwerp
vs
Genk
4 – 4 Full time
Antwerp vs Genk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antwerp vs Genk
| Probability | Antwerp | Draw | Genk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 28.7% | 27.1% |
| Market | 28.9% | 26.8% | 44.3% |
| Final | 32.7% | 27.3% | 40.0% |
| Edge | +15.3% | +1.9% | -17.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antwerp and Genk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Antwerp and Genk attack and defence ratings
Antwerp
Genk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Antwerp vs Genk: result vs prediction
Antwerp 4 – 4 Genk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière — match page
- Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren — team news & stats
- Charleroi vs KV Mechelen
- Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo — team news & stats
- Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge
- St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise — match page
- Anderlecht vs Kortrijk — team news & stats
- Gent vs OH Leuven
Before and after this match
Antwerp vs Genk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genk | 40.0% | 2.50 | -17.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antwerp | 32.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Genk | 40.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Genk win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 68.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Antwerp vs Genk stats
Antwerp vs Genk head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Genk | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Antwerp | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Antwerp | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Genk | Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antwerp vs Genk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 26.9%, away 44.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 888Sport | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.17 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41 | 3.57 | 2.17 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.23 | 2.12 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.17 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .