Garuda Lions
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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise

0 – 3 Full time

21′Kevin Mac Allister
23′L. Patris
47′Abdoulaye Sissako
49′Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
54′Nelson Ishiwatari
55′K. Mac Allister
57′N. IshiwatariR. Merlen
57′O. DioufS. Bazdar
61′Kamiel Van de Perre
63′R. Mofokeng
65′R. ArakiK. Matsuzawa
65′Guilherme SmithD. De Roeve
65′R. MofokengD. Olaru
71′M. BiondicS. Keita
72′R. VanwesemaelT. Hata
72′A. MujaS. Shinkawa
72′K. Van De PerreR. Schoofs
79′B. ZeneliR. Florucz

Stayen, Sint- TruidenReferee: Nathan Verboomen, Belgium

St. Truiden 29%
Draw 26%
Union St. Gilloise 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
50 Possession % 50
3 Corners 1
14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 1
442 Accurate passes 452

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise overview

Garuda Lions analysis: St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySt. TruidenDrawUnion St. Gilloise
Model34.9%23.0%42.1%
Market26.5%26.5%47.0%
Final28.6%25.6%45.8%
Edge+8.4%-3.5%-4.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

St. Truiden ↓ / Union St. Gill → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise expected goals

St. Truiden 1.79
Union St. Gilloise 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.75

St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise attack and defence ratings

St. Truiden

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Union St. Gilloise

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise: result vs prediction

St. Truiden 0 – 3 Union St. Gilloise

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Union St. Gilloise 45.8% 2.18 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.4% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2St. Truiden28.6%
Draw25.6%
Union St. Gilloise45.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
Both teams to scoreYes72.4%
No27.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.2%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)71.4%
Handicap -1Union St. Gilloise win23.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
1-28.1%
2-17.4%

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise stats

St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise recent form

newest first
St. Truiden WLWDDW
Union St. Gilloise WDLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise going into this match

league record before kick-off

St. Truiden record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1St. Truiden wins 2Draws 7Union St. Gilloise wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League2-1
2026-04-04Union St. GilloiseSt. TruidenJupiler Pro League1-0
2026-03-22St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League1-3
2025-10-26Union St. GilloiseSt. TruidenJupiler Pro League2-0
2025-02-02Union St. GilloiseSt. TruidenJupiler Pro League2-1
2024-08-25St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League0-0
2024-01-21Union St. GilloiseSt. TruidenJupiler Pro League2-1
2023-10-08St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League0-4
2023-04-02Union St. GilloiseSt. TruidenJupiler Pro League2-1
2022-07-23St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 26.5%, away 47.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.60 3.55 1.95
1xBet 3.62 3.62 2.02
Bet365 3.40 3.50 1.95
BetVictor 3.40 3.60 2.00
Betano 3.55 3.55 2.05
Betfair 3.30 3.60 1.90
Dafabet 3.55 3.65 2.02
Marathonbet 3.55 3.55 1.97
Pinnacle 3.72 3.65 2.03
SBO 3.20 3.38 2.00
Superbet 3.55 3.65 2.02
Unibet 3.60 3.45 1.98
William Hill 3.20 3.40 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.55 ▼ -0.03
X 3.55 ▲ +0.05
2 2.00 ▼ -0.01

6 snapshots recorded, from .