Garuda Lions
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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

1 – 0 Full time

Jan Breydel Stadium, BrugesReferee: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium

Club Brugge KV 77%
Draw 14%
Cercle Brugge 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub Brugge KVDrawCercle Brugge
Model86.9%8.3%4.8%
Market74.0%15.5%10.5%
Final77.2%13.7%9.1%
Edge+12.9%-7.3%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Club Brugge KV

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.07 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Club Brugge KV below the model: +12.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Brugge KV ↓ / Cercle Brugge → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 20% 21% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 89%
No goals 1%

Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge expected goals

Club Brugge KV 4.07
Cercle Brugge 1.07

Total expected goals: 5.14

Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge attack and defence ratings

Club Brugge KV

Attack 1.99 +99%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Cercle Brugge

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge: result vs prediction

Club Brugge KV 1 – 0 Cercle Brugge

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Brugge KV 77.2% 1.30 +12.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 88.6% 1.13 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.9% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Club Brugge KV win 74.0% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Brugge KV77.2%
Draw13.7%
Cercle Brugge9.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.588.6%
Under 2.511.4%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.9%
12 (either side)86.3%
X2 (draw or away)22.8%
Handicap -1Club Brugge KV win74.0%
Push (exactly one goal)12.9%
Loss13.1%
Correct score (top 3)4-17.2%
3-17.1%
4-06.7%

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge stats

Club Brugge KV and Cercle Brugge recent form

newest first
Club Brugge KV WWWDWW
Cercle Brugge DDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Club Brugge KV wins 0Draws 0Cercle Brugge wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15Cercle BruggeClub Brugge KVJupiler Pro League1-2
2025-08-09Club Brugge KVCercle BruggeJupiler Pro League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.1%, draw 15.5%, away 10.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.25 5.75 9.75
1xBet 1.29 6.21 9.20
888Sport 1.25 5.50 8.50
Bet365 1.25 5.50 9.00
BetVictor 1.25 6.00 9.50
Betano 1.32 6.20 9.25
Betfair 1.22 5.50 8.50
Dafabet 1.29 6.20 8.60
Marathonbet 1.26 6.00 8.90
Pinnacle 1.27 6.47 9.91
SBO 1.26 5.70 7.34
Superbet 1.29 6.30 8.40
Unibet 1.24 6.10 10.00
William Hill 1.25 5.50 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.26 ▼ -0.02
X 6.00 ▲ +0.20
2 8.90 ▲ +0.45

4 snapshots recorded, from .