Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

1 – 0 Full time

43′D. Sikan
46′S. CampbellS. Podgoreanu
56′Marco Kana
56′K. MasuiR. Storman
56′J. van LandschootG. Koyalipou
59′J. Nga KanaO. Antman
59′L. AmbrosN. Ojea
61′Enric Llansana
74′M. CvetkovicT. Bentayeb
77′B. DejaegereJ. Roche
77′N. Mehssatou SepulvedaA. Phillips
86′Rudy Kohon
86′Gilles Ruyssen
89′M. KanaN. Kalonji Kafumpata

Lotto Park, BrusselsReferee: Bert Put, Belgium

Anderlecht 64%
Draw 21%
Kortrijk 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 2
10 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 5
1 Saves 4
471 Accurate passes 331

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnderlechtDrawKortrijk
Model58.4%21.9%19.7%
Market66.2%20.1%13.7%
Final64.2%20.5%15.2%
Edge-7.8%+1.9%+5.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Anderlecht

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anderlecht ↓ / Kortrijk → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Anderlecht and Kortrijk expected goals

Anderlecht 2.18
Kortrijk 1.22

Total expected goals: 3.40

Anderlecht and Kortrijk attack and defence ratings

Anderlecht

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Kortrijk

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk: result vs prediction

Anderlecht 1 – 0 Kortrijk

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Anderlecht 64.2% 1.56 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.0% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.8% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.6% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anderlecht64.2%
Draw20.5%
Kortrijk15.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.8%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)35.8%
Handicap -1Anderlecht win36.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss41.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-19.7%
2-07.9%

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk stats

Anderlecht and Kortrijk recent form

newest first
Anderlecht LWWLWW
Kortrijk LLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anderlecht and Kortrijk going into this match

league record before kick-off

Anderlecht record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Anderlecht wins 3Draws 2Kortrijk wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-19KortrijkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League0-2
2024-11-03AnderlechtKortrijkJupiler Pro League4-0
2024-03-16AnderlechtKortrijkJupiler Pro League0-1
2023-09-17KortrijkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-2
2023-02-19KortrijkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-2
2022-09-18AnderlechtKortrijkJupiler Pro League4-1
2022-04-10KortrijkAnderlechtJupiler Pro League2-3
2021-12-23AnderlechtKortrijkCup3-0
2021-11-21AnderlechtKortrijkJupiler Pro League1-1
2021-02-21AnderlechtKortrijkJupiler Pro League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 20.1%, away 13.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.40 4.60 7.40
1xBet 1.43 4.86 6.96
Bet365 1.40 4.50 6.25
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50
Betano 1.45 5.00 7.50
Betfair 1.33 4.60 6.50
Dafabet 1.41 5.00 7.00
Marathonbet 1.40 4.75 6.80
Pinnacle 1.43 5.07 7.02
SBO 1.41 4.03 5.32
Superbet 1.50 4.65 5.85
Unibet 1.43 4.60 6.50
William Hill 1.40 4.50 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.41 ▼ -0.07
X 4.65 ▲ +0.15
2 6.80 ▲ +0.86

4 snapshots recorded, from .