Jupiler Pro League · 2026-09-03T18:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 3

Gent vs OH Leuven

1 – 0 Full time

46′			T. Araujo
57′			D. OpokuA. K. Traore
58′			Wouter George
64′			K. WilsonM. Volckaert
64′			M. DelorgeT. De Vlieger
64′			L. BenesM. Balikwisha
65′			Siebe Van Der Heyden
67′			L. LakomyK. Vaesen
67′			S. YamadaC. Ikwuemesi
74′			M. SonkoE. H. Seck
76′			Óscar Gil
77′			W. GeorgeT. Ogiwara
77′			N. DussenneB. Kayo
88′			J. VergaraA. Omgba

Planet Group Arena, GentReferee: Michiel Allaerts, Belgium

Gent

57%

Draw

25%

OH Leuven

18%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	8
1	Shots on target	1
43	Possession %	57
10	Corners	1
10	Fouls	8
2	Offsides	1
1	Saves	0
313	Accurate passes	464

Gent vs OH Leuven overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gent vs OH Leuven

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Gent	Draw	OH Leuven
Model	60.5%	25.7%	13.8%
Market	55.7%	25.1%	19.2%
Final	56.9%	25.3%	17.8%
Edge	+4.8%	+0.6%	-5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Gent

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.70.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Gent below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

43%

No goals

10%

Gent and OH Leuven expected goals

Gent

1.70

OH Leuven

0.70

Total expected goals: 2.39

Gent and OH Leuven attack and defence ratings

Gent

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.74 -26%

OH Leuven

Attack

0.74 -26%

Defence

1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gent vs OH Leuven: result vs prediction

Gent 1 – 0 OH Leuven

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Standard Liege v RAAL La Louvière — match page · 2026-08-21
Zulte Waregem vs SK Beveren — team news & stats · 2026-08-22
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen · 2026-08-22
Antwerp v Genk — match page · 2026-08-22
Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo — team news & stats · 2026-08-23
Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge · 2026-08-23
St. Truiden v Union St. Gilloise — match page · 2026-09-02
Anderlecht vs Kortrijk — team news & stats · 2026-09-03

Before and after this match

Gent, previous: Gent vs Club Brugge KV prediction
Gent, next: Cercle Brugge vs Gent prediction
OH Leuven, previous: OH Leuven v Standard Liege analysis
OH Leuven, next: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven: odds and pick

Gent vs OH Leuven markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Gent	56.9%	1.76	+4.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	57.1%	1.75	—	—
Both teams to score	No	58.0%	1.72	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	82.2%	1.22	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	39.5%	2.53	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Gent	56.9%
	Draw	25.3%
	OH Leuven	17.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	42.9%
	Under 2.5	57.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	42.0%
	No	58.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	82.2%
	12 (either side)	74.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	43.1%
Handicap -1	Gent win	34.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	25.6%
	Loss	39.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	14.4%
	2-0	13.2%
	1-1	11.9%

Gent vs OH Leuven stats

Gent and OH Leuven recent form

newest first

Gent	WWDWDW
OH Leuven	LLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gent vs OH Leuven head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Gent wins 3Draws 4OH Leuven wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-07	Gent	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	1-3
2025-11-02	OH Leuven	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	4-0
2025-01-26	OH Leuven	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	0-0
2024-09-29	Gent	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	3-0
2024-05-12	Gent	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	0-1
2024-04-14	OH Leuven	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	2-1
2023-12-21	Gent	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	4-0
2023-09-17	OH Leuven	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	1-1
2023-02-19	Gent	OH Leuven	Jupiler Pro League	2-0
2022-10-30	OH Leuven	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gent vs OH Leuven odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 25.1%, away 19.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.70	3.65	4.75
1xBet	1.70	3.82	5.06
Bet365	1.67	3.50	4.75
BetVictor	1.65	3.80	5.00
Betano	1.75	3.80	5.20
Betfair	1.62	3.60	4.75
Dafabet	1.72	3.75	4.90
Marathonbet	1.68	3.70	4.85
Pinnacle	1.75	3.86	4.83
SBO	1.56	3.50	4.51
Superbet	1.65	4.00	5.00
Unibet	1.62	3.65	5.40
William Hill	1.67	3.60	4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▲ +0.05

X 3.70 ▼ -0.25

2 4.85 ▼ -0.15

4 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-02T08:10:02Z.