Gent
vs
Club Brugge KV
2 – 1 Full time
Gent vs Club Brugge KV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gent vs Club Brugge KV
| Probability | Gent | Draw | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.7% | 27.6% | 60.7% |
| Market | 22.8% | 23.8% | 53.5% |
| Final | 20.0% | 24.7% | 55.3% |
| Edge | -11.1% | +3.9% | +7.2% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club Brugge KV below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gent and Club Brugge KV expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Gent and Club Brugge KV attack and defence ratings
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gent vs Club Brugge KV: result vs prediction
Gent 2 – 1 Club Brugge KV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Genk v SK Beveren — match page
- RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen — team news & stats
- Kortrijk vs Charleroi
- OH Leuven v Standard Liege — match page
- Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- Antwerp v St. Truiden — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht — team news & stats
- KVC Westerlo vs Zulte Waregem
Before and after this match
Gent vs Club Brugge KV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 55.3% | 1.81 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gent | 20.0% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Club Brugge KV | 55.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.0% |
| No | 67.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 37.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.6% |
| 0-2 | 14.9% | |
| 0-0 | 14.0% |
Gent vs Club Brugge KV stats
Gent and Club Brugge KV recent form
| Gent |
WDWDWW |
| Club Brugge KV |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gent vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Club Brugge KV | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 5-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gent | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Club Brugge KV | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Gent | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gent vs Club Brugge KV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.8%, draw 23.8%, away 53.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 4.15 | 4.15 | 1.77 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.15 | 4.00 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.79 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 4.05 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 4.17 | 4.19 | 1.74 |
| SBO | 3.63 | 3.44 | 1.72 |
| Unibet | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .