Hibernian
vs
Gent
2 – 3 Full time
Hibernian vs Gent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernian vs Gent
| Probability | Hibernian | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 38.0% | 20.7% |
| Market | 33.3% | 29.4% | 37.3% |
| Final | 35.3% | 31.6% | 33.1% |
| Edge | +8.0% | +8.6% | -16.6% |
Why Hibernian
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.93 vs 0.58.
- The market prices Hibernian below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hibernian and Gent expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.51
Hibernian and Gent attack and defence ratings
Hibernian
Gent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hibernian vs Gent: result vs prediction
Hibernian 2 – 3 Gent
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Hibernian vs Gent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 35.3% | 2.83 | +8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 35.3% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Gent | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hibernian win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.2% |
| 1-0 | 19.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Hibernian vs Gent stats
Hibernian and Gent recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hibernian and Gent going into this match
Hibernian record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gent record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Hibernian vs Gent head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Gent | Hibernian | UEFA Europa Conference League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hibernian vs Gent odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.3%, draw 29.4%, away 37.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.78 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 3.26 | 2.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.14 | 2.49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.17 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.53 | 2.88 | 2.45 |
| Superbet | 2.87 | 3.20 | 2.57 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .