Dundee
vs
Hibernian
1 – 2 Full time
Dundee vs Hibernian overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dundee vs Hibernian
| Probability | Dundee | Draw | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 29.8% | 25.8% |
| Market | 30.6% | 27.0% | 42.4% |
| Final | 34.0% | 27.7% | 38.2% |
| Edge | +13.9% | +2.8% | -16.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dundee and Hibernian expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Dundee and Hibernian attack and defence ratings
Dundee
Hibernian
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dundee vs Hibernian: result vs prediction
Dundee 1 – 2 Hibernian
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dundee vs Hibernian markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 38.2% | 2.62 | -16.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee | 34.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Hibernian | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hibernian win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.4% | |
| Loss | 76.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Dundee vs Hibernian stats
Dundee and Hibernian recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dundee and Hibernian going into this match
Dundee record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Dundee vs Hibernian head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Dundee | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Hibernian | Dundee | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Dundee | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dundee vs Hibernian odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 27.0%, away 42.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.48 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.27 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.29 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.48 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 3.57 | 2.24 |
| SBO | 2.87 | 3.07 | 2.09 |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .