Scotland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 4

Aberdeen vs Rangers

0 – 1 Full time

Pittodrie Stadium, AberdeenReferee: Matthew MacDermid, Scotland

Aberdeen 23%
Draw 24%
Rangers 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aberdeen vs Rangers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aberdeen vs Rangers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAberdeenDrawRangers
Model33.0%26.4%40.7%
Market20.1%23.4%56.5%
Final23.3%24.2%52.6%
Edge+12.9%+2.9%-15.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aberdeen ↓ / Rangers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Aberdeen and Rangers expected goals

Aberdeen 1.39
Rangers 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.86

Aberdeen and Rangers attack and defence ratings

Aberdeen

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Rangers

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aberdeen vs Rangers: result vs prediction

Aberdeen 0 – 1 Rangers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Scotland Premiership

Before and after this match

Aberdeen vs Rangers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rangers 52.6% 1.90 -15.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.8% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aberdeen23.3%
Draw24.2%
Rangers52.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.9%
Under 2.542.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.4%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)76.7%
Handicap -1Rangers win18.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss61.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
1-28.9%
2-17.9%

Aberdeen vs Rangers stats

Aberdeen and Rangers recent form

newest first
Aberdeen LWLLWD
Rangers LWDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aberdeen and Rangers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rangers record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Aberdeen vs Rangers head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Aberdeen wins 0Draws 3Rangers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21RangersAberdeenScotland Premiership4-1
2026-01-11AberdeenRangersScotland Premiership0-2
2026-01-06RangersAberdeenScotland Premiership2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aberdeen vs Rangers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 23.4%, away 56.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.70 4.10 1.63
1xBet 4.60 3.98 1.67
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.62
BetVictor 4.40 3.90 1.65
Betano 4.90 4.05 1.67
Dafabet 4.90 4.10 1.69
Marathonbet 4.65 3.98 1.65
Pinnacle 4.64 4.06 1.68
SBO 4.09 3.57 1.60
Unibet 4.90 4.00 1.58
William Hill 4.50 3.80 1.67

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.65 —
X 3.98 ▲ +0.03
2 1.65 ▼ -0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .