Falkirk
vs
Rangers
1 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | L. Shankland | ||
| 44′ | K. Nedeljkovic | ||
| 53′ | Ethan Ross | ||
| 54′ | C. FodreyA. Doherty | ||
| 59′ | K. NedeljkovicR. McCrorie | ||
| 59′ | C. DevlinT. Chukwuani | ||
| 67′ | Brad Spencer | ||
| 70′ | J. MurrellR. MacIver | ||
| 76′ | Olwethu Makhanya | ||
| 78′ | B. SpencerD. Melniks | ||
| 78′ | E. RossB. Parkinson | ||
| 79′ | L. Shankland | ||
| 80′ | M. KimB. Miovski | ||
| 80′ | F. CurtisD. Yokota | ||
| 90′ | L. ShanklandB. Godfrey |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 300 | Accurate passes | 338 |
Falkirk vs Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Falkirk vs Rangers
| Probability | Falkirk | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 25.0% | 49.0% |
| Market | 18.8% | 22.4% | 58.8% |
| Final | 20.6% | 23.0% | 56.3% |
| Edge | +7.2% | +2.6% | -9.8% |
Why Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Falkirk and Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Falkirk and Rangers attack and defence ratings
Falkirk
Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Falkirk vs Rangers: result vs prediction
Falkirk 1 – 2 Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Falkirk vs Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rangers | 56.3% | 1.77 | -9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Falkirk | 20.6% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Rangers | 56.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Falkirk vs Rangers stats
Falkirk and Rangers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Falkirk and Rangers going into this match
Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Falkirk vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Falkirk | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 2-5 |
| 2026-04-12 | Falkirk | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 3-6 |
| 2025-11-30 | Rangers | Falkirk | Scotland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Falkirk | Rangers | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-29 | Falkirk | Rangers | League Cup | 0-4 |
| 2016-03-18 | Falkirk | Rangers | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2016-01-30 | Rangers | Falkirk | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2015-12-19 | Falkirk | Rangers | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2015-10-03 | Rangers | Falkirk | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2015-04-25 | Rangers | Falkirk | Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Falkirk vs Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 22.4%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.59 |
| 1xBet | 4.92 | 4.05 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 4.25 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 5.13 | 4.22 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.77 | 3.98 | 1.55 |
| Superbet | 4.90 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Unibet | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .