Motherwell
vs
Dundee Utd
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Emmanuel Agyei | ||
| 19′ | S. Palmer-Houlden | ||
| 20′ | A. YoroD. Tait | ||
| 35′ | Sebastian Palmer-Houlden | ||
| 46′ | J. Knight-LebelJ. Girdwood-Reich | ||
| 46′ | M. MerghemJ. Randall | ||
| 57′ | D. BennieN. Farrugia | ||
| 58′ | Z. SapsfordL. Rose | ||
| 59′ | L. FadingerD. Levitt | ||
| 59′ | S. Palmer-HouldenE. Bjorgolfsson | ||
| 64′ | W. FerryK. Ciubotaru | ||
| 65′ | A. Lowry | ||
| 67′ | D. Levitt | ||
| 68′ | T. SparrowS. O'Donnell | ||
| 68′ | A. LowryW. Vogt |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 71 | Possession % | 29 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 701 | Accurate passes | 237 |
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
| Probability | Motherwell | Draw | Dundee Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 24.4% | 25.8% |
| Market | 46.7% | 26.2% | 27.1% |
| Final | 47.4% | 25.8% | 26.8% |
| Edge | +3.0% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
Why Motherwell
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.32.
- The market prices Motherwell below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Motherwell and Dundee Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Motherwell and Dundee Utd attack and defence ratings
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd: result vs prediction
Motherwell 3 – 0 Dundee Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motherwell | 47.4% | 2.11 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Motherwell | 47.4% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Dundee Utd | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Motherwell win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd stats
Motherwell and Dundee Utd recent form
| Motherwell |
DLLWDD |
| Dundee Utd |
WLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Motherwell and Dundee Utd going into this match
Dundee Utd record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Dundee Utd | Motherwell | Scotland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | Scotland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Dundee Utd | Motherwell | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 4-3 |
| 2024-10-30 | Dundee Utd | Motherwell | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Motherwell | Dundee Utd | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Dundee Utd | Motherwell | Premiership | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 26.2%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.54 | 3.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.52 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.64 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.38 | 3.18 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .