Celtic
vs
Aberdeen
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | C. Duran | ||
| 34′ | B. Nygren | ||
| 38′ | Cameron Carter-Vickers | ||
| 42′ | Lewis Mayo | ||
| 45′ | Yang Hyun-Jun | ||
| 46′ | K. NisbetL. Smith | ||
| 46′ | A. AremuC. Ronan | ||
| 46′ | A. MoulouaM. Ntelo | ||
| 46′ | A. BriedlT. Olusanya | ||
| 63′ | A. Oxlade-ChamberlainO. Sorensen | ||
| 63′ | B. NygrenM. Baur | ||
| 74′ | Yang Hyun-JunJ. Forrest | ||
| 75′ | C. DuranS. Mheuka | ||
| 76′ | H. HassanS. Tounekti | ||
| 82′ | G. MolloyJ. Milne |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 15 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 9 |
| 691 | Accurate passes | 317 |
Celtic vs Aberdeen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celtic vs Aberdeen
| Probability | Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Market | 76.1% | 15.0% | 8.9% |
| Final | 75.9% | 15.1% | 9.0% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
Why Celtic
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celtic and Aberdeen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
Celtic and Aberdeen attack and defence ratings
Celtic
Aberdeen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celtic vs Aberdeen: result vs prediction
Celtic 3 – 0 Aberdeen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celtic vs Aberdeen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 75.9% | 1.32 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celtic | 75.9% |
| Draw | 15.1% | |
| Aberdeen | 9.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celtic win | 55.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 24.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.6% |
| 3-0 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Celtic vs Aberdeen stats
Celtic and Aberdeen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celtic and Aberdeen going into this match
Celtic record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Celtic vs Aberdeen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aberdeen | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Celtic | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Aberdeen | Celtic | Scotland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Aberdeen | Celtic | Scotland FA Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-14 | Aberdeen | Celtic | Premiership | 1-5 |
| 2025-02-25 | Celtic | Aberdeen | Premiership | 5-1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Aberdeen | Celtic | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Celtic | Aberdeen | League Cup | 6-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Celtic | Aberdeen | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Aberdeen | Celtic | FA Cup | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celtic vs Aberdeen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.1%, draw 15.0%, away 8.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.23 | 6.40 | 10.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 6.00 | 10.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 6.50 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 5.90 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 6.08 | 11.70 |
| SBO | 1.22 | 5.90 | 8.87 |
| Superbet | 1.25 | 6.60 | 9.80 |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 6.25 | 10.50 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .