Aberdeen
vs
Kilmarnock
0 – 0 Full time
| 36′ | Chris Cadden | ||
| 38′ | Aaron Tshibola | ||
| 43′ | Tom Lowery | ||
| 46′ | T. YoganeM. Knoester | ||
| 46′ | K. NisbetT. Olusanya | ||
| 46′ | M. NteloA. Mouloua | ||
| 52′ | Ayoub Mouloua | ||
| 62′ | Mats Knoester | ||
| 62′ | L. SmithF. Marshall | ||
| 62′ | D. DanielsR. McKenzie | ||
| 74′ | N. Guinness-WalkerG. Molloy | ||
| 75′ | Lewis Mayo | ||
| 76′ | E. RingT. John-Jules | ||
| 82′ | Aaron Tshibola | ||
| 82′ | Aaron Tshibola | ||
| 84′ | G. KiltieM. O'Hara | ||
| 88′ | Stuart Armstrong |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 391 | Accurate passes | 297 |
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
| Probability | Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 25.8% | 38.3% |
| Market | 55.5% | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| Final | 50.6% | 24.6% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -19.6% | +1.6% | +18.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock attack and defence ratings
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: result vs prediction
Aberdeen 0 – 0 Kilmarnock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aberdeen | 50.6% | 1.98 | -19.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aberdeen | 50.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Kilmarnock | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aberdeen win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 64.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock stats
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock recent form
| Aberdeen |
LLLWLL |
| Kilmarnock |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | Scotland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | Premiership | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | FA Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Kilmarnock | Aberdeen | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2023-12-06 | Aberdeen | Kilmarnock | Premiership | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 24.3%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.88 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.88 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 4.03 | 4.80 |
| Unibet | 1.77 | 3.65 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .