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Scotland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 5

Dundee vs ST Johnstone

1 – 1 Full time

63′Zach Mitchell
64′A. ForrestF. Robertson
64′B. WalesB. Fink
73′B. HallidayD. Wright
73′R. PatonJ. Fowler
73′T. StevenK. Fotheringham
77′J. BevanC. Reilly
84′Sam Stanton
85′J. GullanM. Tait
87′C. Reilly
88′J. HoltL. Chalmers
90′J. Fowler

Dens Park, DundeeReferee: R. Hardie

Dundee 34%
Draw 28%
ST Johnstone 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
41 Possession % 59
2 Corners 5
16 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
297 Accurate passes 483

Dundee vs ST Johnstone overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dundee vs ST Johnstone

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDundeeDrawST Johnstone
Model32.0%28.6%39.5%
Market34.9%27.3%37.7%
Final34.2%27.6%38.2%
Edge-2.9%+1.2%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why ST Johnstone

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dundee ↓ / ST Johnstone → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Dundee and ST Johnstone expected goals

Dundee 1.24
ST Johnstone 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.64

Dundee and ST Johnstone attack and defence ratings

Dundee

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

ST Johnstone

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dundee vs ST Johnstone: result vs prediction

Dundee 1 – 1 ST Johnstone

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Scotland Premiership

Before and after this match

Dundee vs ST Johnstone markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ST Johnstone 38.2% 2.62 +1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dundee34.2%
Draw27.6%
ST Johnstone38.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1ST Johnstone win19.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-18.8%
1-28.7%

Dundee vs ST Johnstone stats

Dundee and ST Johnstone recent form

newest first
Dundee LWWLWL
ST Johnstone LLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dundee and ST Johnstone going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dundee record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

ST Johnstone record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Dundee vs ST Johnstone head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Dundee wins 4Draws 1ST Johnstone wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-18ST JohnstoneDundeePremiership0-2
2025-03-01DundeeST JohnstonePremiership1-1
2025-01-05ST JohnstoneDundeePremiership1-3
2024-10-26DundeeST JohnstonePremiership1-2
2024-03-30ST JohnstoneDundeePremiership1-2
2024-02-11DundeeST JohnstonePremiership2-1
2023-09-02ST JohnstoneDundeePremiership2-2
2022-04-23DundeeST JohnstonePremiership1-1
2022-01-26ST JohnstoneDundeePremiership0-0
2021-12-01DundeeST JohnstonePremiership1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dundee vs ST Johnstone odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 27.3%, away 37.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.56 3.50 2.54
1xBet 2.69 3.42 2.45
Bet365 2.75 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.45
Betano 2.70 3.55 2.50
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.55
Dafabet 2.75 3.55 2.55
Marathonbet 2.66 3.44 2.47
Pinnacle 2.74 3.60 2.56
SBO 2.71 3.22 2.32
Superbet 2.75 3.45 2.52
Unibet 2.60 3.25 2.55
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.20
X 3.45 ▲ +0.07
2 2.50 ▼ -0.14

9 snapshots recorded, from .