Lommel United
vs
Club Brugge KV
0 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | Lee Han-beom | ||
| 45′ | T. Eyoma | ||
| 46′ | Juho Talvitie | ||
| 60′ | M. DiakhonJ. Virgili | ||
| 64′ | S. AdewoyeS. De Grand | ||
| 81′ | S. AppuahN. Corthouts | ||
| 81′ | H. VetlesenC. Tsawa | ||
| 81′ | R. VermantA. Vasovic | ||
| 82′ | Freddie Potts | ||
| 88′ | K. SabbeH. Siquet | ||
| 88′ | N. TresoldiF. Lemarechal | ||
| 90′ | D. KonaduL. Beirinckx |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 368 | Accurate passes | 407 |
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV
| Probability | Lommel United | Draw | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 27.8% | 43.9% |
| Market | 10.8% | 15.7% | 73.6% |
| Final | 15.2% | 18.7% | 66.1% |
| Edge | +17.6% | +12.1% | -29.7% |
Why Club Brugge KV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lommel United and Club Brugge KV expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Lommel United and Club Brugge KV attack and defence ratings
Lommel United
Club Brugge KV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV: result vs prediction
Lommel United 0 – 1 Club Brugge KV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Brugge KV | 66.1% | 1.51 | -29.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lommel United | 15.2% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Club Brugge KV | 66.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Brugge KV win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV stats
Lommel United and Club Brugge KV recent form
| Lommel United |
WWLDDW |
| Club Brugge KV |
LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.8%, draw 15.7%, away 73.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| 1xBet | 8.75 | 5.93 | 1.31 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 5.25 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 6.40 | 1.32 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Dafabet | 8.60 | 6.20 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 8.80 | 5.85 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 8.80 | 6.10 | 1.30 |
| SBO | 6.95 | 5.42 | 1.23 |
| Superbet | 8.60 | 6.40 | 1.28 |
| Unibet | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .