Garuda Lions
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Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Standard Liege vs Antwerp

1 – 0 Full time

8′Maxime Busi
10′Ibrahim Karamoko
47′Yuto Tsunashima
61′M. BusiM. Fofana
61′I. SalahS. Porozo
64′G. MortensenT. Mohr
65′B. NgueneS. Drammeh
77′D. Eckert
78′C. ScottM. Benitez
79′S. RendersE. Tuypens
82′D. EckertB. Nsimba
83′A. TrouilletR. Fosso
84′X. DierckxL. Narh

Maurice Dufrasnestadion, LiegeReferee: L. Visser

Standard Liege 49%
Draw 25%
Antwerp 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
56 Possession % 44
13 Corners 4
7 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
354 Accurate passes 278

Standard Liege vs Antwerp overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Standard Liege vs Antwerp

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStandard LiegeDrawAntwerp
Model59.4%20.7%19.8%
Market45.6%26.6%27.8%
Final49.1%25.2%25.8%
Edge+13.8%-5.9%-8.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Standard Liege

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.33.
  • The market prices Standard Liege below the model: +13.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Standard Liege ↓ / Antwerp → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 6% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Standard Liege and Antwerp expected goals

Standard Liege 2.34
Antwerp 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.67

Standard Liege and Antwerp attack and defence ratings

Standard Liege

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Antwerp

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Standard Liege vs Antwerp: result vs prediction

Standard Liege 1 – 0 Antwerp

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Standard Liege vs Antwerp markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Standard Liege 49.1% 2.04 +13.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.2% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.9% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Standard Liege49.1%
Draw25.2%
Antwerp25.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.1%
Under 2.528.9%
Both teams to scoreYes67.2%
No32.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.2%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)50.9%
Handicap -1Standard Liege win38.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss40.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
1-18.7%
3-17.3%

Standard Liege vs Antwerp stats

Standard Liege and Antwerp recent form

newest first
Standard Liege WWDDLW
Antwerp LDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Standard Liege vs Antwerp head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Standard Liege wins 2Draws 6Antwerp wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03AntwerpStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League0-5
2026-04-21Standard LiegeAntwerpJupiler Pro League1-2
2026-03-15AntwerpStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League1-1
2025-10-20Standard LiegeAntwerpJupiler Pro League1-0
2025-03-16Standard LiegeAntwerpJupiler Pro League0-0
2024-10-27AntwerpStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League3-0
2024-01-31Standard LiegeAntwerpJupiler Pro League0-1
2023-11-11AntwerpStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League6-0
2023-01-22AntwerpStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League4-1
2022-12-20AntwerpStandard LiegeCup4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Standard Liege vs Antwerp odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 27.5%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.55 3.10
1xBet 2.11 3.56 3.42
Bet365 2.00 3.30 3.40
BetVictor 2.05 3.60 3.30
Betano 2.18 3.45 3.35
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.24 3.40 3.25
Marathonbet 2.06 3.48 3.35
Pinnacle 2.11 3.68 3.48
SBO 2.15 3.02 2.82
Superbet 2.25 3.40 3.25
Unibet 2.16 3.25 3.30
William Hill 2.05 3.40 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.64
X 3.52 ▲ +0.22
2 3.38 ▲ +0.78

13 snapshots recorded, from .