St. Truiden
vs
RAAL La Louvière
4 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Mustapha Isah Ubandoma | ||
| 13′ | Ilias Sebaoui | ||
| 41′ | Ryan Merlen | ||
| 45′ | Shogo TaniguchiWolke Janssens | ||
| 54′ | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael | ||
| 59′ | Thierry LutondaNolan Gillot | ||
| 60′ | Elias FiletAnas Tajaouart | ||
| 61′ | Shaquil Delos | ||
| 73′ | Samed Baždar | ||
| 74′ | Robert-Jan VanwesemaelJoedrick Pupe | ||
| 74′ | Ryotaro ArakiNelson Ishiwatari | ||
| 74′ | Shaquil DelosMatyas Kovacs | ||
| 74′ | Mustapha Isah UbandomaLéandro Rousseau | ||
| 78′ | Samed Baždar | ||
| 80′ | Ilias SebaouiNathanael Mbuku | ||
| 84′ | Samed BaždarOumar Diouf |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 73 | Possession % | 27 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 615 | Accurate passes | 186 |
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière
| Probability | St. Truiden | Draw | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.0% | 20.3% | 19.8% |
| Market | 61.5% | 22.4% | 16.1% |
| Final | 61.1% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -2.1% | +3.7% |
Why St. Truiden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.78
St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière attack and defence ratings
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière: result vs prediction
St. Truiden 4 – 0 RAAL La Louvière
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 61.1% | 1.64 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Truiden | 61.1% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| RAAL La Louvière | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Truiden win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | |
| 3-1 | 7.3% |
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière stats
St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière recent form
| St. Truiden |
LWLWDD |
| RAAL La Louvière |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière going into this match
St. Truiden record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | RAAL La Louvière | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | St. Truiden | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 22.8%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.64 | 3.95 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.42 | 5.92 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.61 | 4.56 |
| Superbet | 1.64 | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .