Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
SK Beveren
vs
OH Leuven
3 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | Bruno Godeau | ||
| 56′ | Takuya OgiwaraAbdoul Karim Traoré | ||
| 60′ | Lennart MertensMoïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré | ||
| 62′ | Jearl Margaritha | ||
| 68′ | Jamie Lawrence | ||
| 69′ | Chris Lokesa | ||
| 72′ | Shin YamadaWilliam Balikwisha | ||
| 72′ | Oscar Gil RegañoDavis Opoku | ||
| 72′ | Chukwubuikem IkwuemesiRobin Mirisola | ||
| 78′ | Chris LokesaArno Verschueren | ||
| 78′ | Christophe JanssensDominic Thompson | ||
| 79′ | Birger Verstraete | ||
| 85′ | Jearl Margaritha | ||
| 87′ | Wouter GeorgeKyan Vaesen | ||
| 89′ | Christian BrulsFerre Slegers | ||
| 89′ | Jearl MargarithaKurt Abrahams | ||
| 90′ | Moïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré |
SK Beveren
48%
Draw
25%
OH Leuven
26%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 306 | Accurate passes | 347 |
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SK Beveren vs OH Leuven
| Probability | SK Beveren | Draw | OH Leuven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.8% | 21.3% | 13.9% |
| Market | 42.8% | 26.7% | 30.6% |
| Final | 48.3% | 25.3% | 26.4% |
| Edge | +22.0% | -5.4% | -16.7% |
Why SK Beveren
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices SK Beveren below the model: +22.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
SK Beveren and OH Leuven expected goals
SK Beveren
2.16
OH Leuven
0.91
Total expected goals: 3.07
SK Beveren and OH Leuven attack and defence ratings
SK Beveren
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
1.08 +8%
OH Leuven
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven: result vs prediction
SK Beveren 3 – 0 OH Leuven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Lommel United v Club Brugge KV — match page
- Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats
- KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo
- Standard Liege v Antwerp — match page
- St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — team news & stats
- Cercle Brugge vs Gent
- Kortrijk v Zulte Waregem — match page
- Anderlecht vs Genk — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Beveren | 48.3% | 2.07 | +22.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | SK Beveren win | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Beveren | 48.3% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| OH Leuven | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | SK Beveren win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.8% |
| 1-1 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven stats
SK Beveren and OH Leuven recent form
| SK Beveren |
LLWLWW |
| OH Leuven |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SK Beveren and OH Leuven going into this match
SK Beveren record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4SK Beveren wins
1Draws
5OH Leuven wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-12 | OH Leuven | SK Beveren | Friendlies Clubs | 5-1 |
| 2021-04-18 | OH Leuven | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2020-08-29 | SK Beveren | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2016-02-06 | SK Beveren | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2015-10-24 | OH Leuven | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2014-02-15 | SK Beveren | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2013-10-19 | OH Leuven | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 4-2 |
| 2013-05-04 | SK Beveren | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2013-03-30 | OH Leuven | SK Beveren | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2013-01-26 | SK Beveren | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.0%, draw 26.1%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.56 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.48 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.69 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.28 | 2.61 |
| Superbet | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▲ +0.18
X
3.52 ▼ -0.11
2
3.07 ▼ -0.28
10 snapshots recorded, from .