Jupiler Pro League · 2026-09-06T11:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Cercle Brugge vs Gent

0 – 3 Full time

21′			E. Kakou
61′			L. MichalErick Nunes
67′			M. BalikwishaL. Benes
67′			M. SonkoE. H. Seck
70′			Lazare Amani
72′			E. KakouT. Akinsola
72′			L. AmaniK. Kouassi
77′			T. De Vlieger
78′			M. DelorgeL. Lopes
82′			V. KonateR. Caicedo
82′			S. NgouraA. K. Ouattara
89′			M. VolckaertM. Paskotsi
89′			T. AraujoA. Ayinde
90′			E. H. Seck

Jan Breydel Stadium, BrugesReferee: Yusuke Araki, Japan

Cercle Brugge

32%

Draw

28%

Gent

40%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

9	Shots	9
1	Shots on target	3
56	Possession %	44
8	Corners	0
15	Fouls	11
1	Offsides	2
1	Saves	1
365	Accurate passes	404

Cercle Brugge vs Gent overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Gent

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Cercle Brugge	Draw	Gent
Model	28.7%	29.1%	42.2%
Market	33.3%	27.0%	39.7%
Final	32.1%	27.5%	40.3%
Edge	-4.6%	+2.1%	+2.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Gent

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Gent below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

73%

3+ goals

46%

No goals

Cercle Brugge and Gent expected goals

Cercle Brugge

1.12

Gent

1.40

Total expected goals: 2.52

Cercle Brugge and Gent attack and defence ratings

Cercle Brugge

Attack

1.12 +12%

Defence

1.23 +23%

Gent

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cercle Brugge vs Gent: result vs prediction

Cercle Brugge 0 – 3 Gent

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Lommel United v Club Brugge KV — match page · 2026-09-04
Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo · 2026-09-05
Standard Liege v Antwerp — match page · 2026-09-05
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Kortrijk v Zulte Waregem — match page · 2026-09-06
Anderlecht vs Genk — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

Cercle Brugge, previous: Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United: odds and pick
Cercle Brugge, next: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge: odds and pick
Gent, previous: Gent v OH Leuven analysis
Gent, next: Genk v Gent analysis

Cercle Brugge vs Gent markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Gent	40.3%	2.48	+2.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	53.9%	1.86	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	52.0%	1.92	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	57.8%	1.73	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Cercle Brugge	32.1%
	Draw	27.5%
	Gent	40.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	46.1%
	Under 2.5	53.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	52.0%
	No	48.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	59.7%
	12 (either side)	72.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	67.9%
Handicap -1	Gent win	20.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.5%
	Loss	57.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.9%
	0-1	10.0%
	0-0	9.3%

Cercle Brugge vs Gent stats

Cercle Brugge and Gent recent form

newest first

Cercle Brugge	LLDDLL
Gent	WWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cercle Brugge vs Gent head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cercle Brugge wins 2Draws 3Gent wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-20	Gent	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	0-1
2025-12-03	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Belgium Cup	1-3
2025-09-28	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	2-4
2024-12-15	Gent	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	1-1
2024-09-26	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	2-1
2024-02-11	Gent	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	1-2
2023-10-22	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	2-0
2023-05-20	Gent	Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League	2-2
2023-05-13	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	0-4
2023-01-29	Cercle Brugge	Gent	Jupiler Pro League	3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cercle Brugge vs Gent odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.3%, draw 26.9%, away 39.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.70	3.55	2.40
1xBet	2.90	3.52	2.39
Bet365	2.75	3.40	2.25
BetVictor	2.80	3.50	2.38
Betano	2.87	3.55	2.37
Betfair	2.63	3.50	2.30
Dafabet	2.85	3.55	2.39
Marathonbet	2.83	3.44	2.34
Pinnacle	2.95	3.52	2.44
SBO	2.66	3.19	2.17
Superbet	2.87	3.50	2.40
Unibet	2.88	3.40	2.30
William Hill	2.80	3.30	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.81 ▲ +0.09

X 3.47 ▼ -0.21

2 2.36 ▼ -0.01

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-02T08:10:02Z.