Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Genk
vs
Gent
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Momodou Sonko | ||
| 21′ | Momodou Sonko | ||
| 32′ | Josue Vergara | ||
| 45′ | Tiago Araújo | ||
| 45′ | Ayumu YokoyamaNoah Adedeji-Sternberg | ||
| 45′ | Ibrahima Sory BangouraBenjamin Tahirovic | ||
| 47′ | Rafiu Durosinmi | ||
| 53′ | Benjamin Tahirovic | ||
| 57′ | Kyrell WilsonLeonardo Da Silva Lopes | ||
| 66′ | Mathias Delorge | ||
| 73′ | Jeppe ErenbjergDaan Heymans | ||
| 73′ | Junya ItoJerry Afriyie | ||
| 78′ | Leonardo Da Silva Lopes | ||
| 80′ | Josue Kongolo | ||
| 80′ | Mathias DelorgeAbdelkahar Kadri | ||
| 80′ | Michel Ange BalikwishaHyllarion Goore | ||
| 80′ | Momodou SonkoEl Hadji Seck | ||
| 86′ | Josue VergaraIbrahima Cisse | ||
| 87′ | Rafiu DurosinmiAaron Bibout |
Genk
42%
Draw
29%
Gent
29%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 557 | Accurate passes | 288 |
Genk vs Gent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Genk vs Gent
| Probability | Genk | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 32.3% | 33.0% |
| Market | 44.4% | 27.4% | 28.2% |
| Final | 42.0% | 28.6% | 29.4% |
| Edge | -9.6% | +4.9% | +4.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Genk and Gent expected goals
Genk
1.09
Gent
1.05
Total expected goals: 2.14
Genk and Gent attack and defence ratings
Genk
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Gent
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Genk vs Gent: result vs prediction
Genk 1 – 1 Gent
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- KV Mechelen v Anderlecht — match page
- SK Beveren vs St. Truiden — team news & stats
- KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege
- OH Leuven v Cercle Brugge — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United — team news & stats
- Club Brugge KV vs Antwerp
- Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi — team news & stats
- RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk
Before and after this match
Genk vs Gent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genk | 42.0% | 2.38 | -9.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Genk | 42.0% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Gent | 29.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Genk win | 14.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.4% |
Genk vs Gent stats
Genk and Gent recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Genk and Gent going into this match
Genk record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gent record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Genk vs Gent head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Genk wins
5Draws
1Gent wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Gent | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Genk | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Gent | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Gent | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-4 |
| 2025-03-30 | Genk | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Genk | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Gent | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2024-06-02 | Genk | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Genk | Gent | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Gent | Genk | Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Genk vs Gent odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 27.4%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.43 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.43 | 3.52 |
| SBO | 1.97 | 3.07 | 3.17 |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▲ +0.15
X
3.40 ▼ -0.06
2
3.30 ▼ -0.63
13 snapshots recorded, from .