Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Gent vs Standard Liege

2 – 1 Full time

27′Mouhamed El Bachir NgomMaksim Paskotsi
31′Josue Vergara
45′Casper Nielsen
71′Matties VolckaertHyllarion Goore
71′Mathias DelorgeLeonardo Da Silva Lopes
71′Dennis DargahiBruny Nsimba
76′Siebe Van Der Heyden
83′Christian Burgess
87′Alexis TrouilletBernard Nguene
87′Marlon FosseyTobias Mohr
90′Josue VergaraIbrahima Cisse
90′Momodou SonkoAbdoul Ayinde

Ghelamco Arena, GhentReferee: Lothar D'Hondt

Gent 52%
Draw 27%
Standard Liege 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 6
11 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 4
372 Accurate passes 458

Gent vs Standard Liege overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gent vs Standard Liege

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGentDrawStandard Liege
Model50.0%27.8%22.2%
Market52.9%26.4%20.7%
Final52.2%26.8%21.1%
Edge-2.9%+1.4%+1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Gent

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gent ↓ / Standard Liege → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Gent and Standard Liege expected goals

Gent 1.56
Standard Liege 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.53

Gent and Standard Liege attack and defence ratings

Gent

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Standard Liege

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gent vs Standard Liege: result vs prediction

Gent 2 – 1 Standard Liege

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Gent vs Standard Liege markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gent 52.2% 1.92 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gent52.2%
Draw26.8%
Standard Liege21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.3%
Under 2.553.7%
Both teams to scoreYes50.2%
No49.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)47.8%
Handicap -1Gent win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-011.3%
2-09.7%

Gent vs Standard Liege stats

Gent and Standard Liege recent form

newest first
Gent DWWWWD
Standard Liege LWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gent and Standard Liege going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gent record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Standard Liege record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Gent vs Standard Liege head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Gent wins 0Draws 1Standard Liege wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-23Standard LiegeGentJupiler Pro League0-4
2025-10-25GentStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League4-0
2024-12-22Standard LiegeGentJupiler Pro League0-1
2024-11-10GentStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League5-0
2024-05-18Standard LiegeGentJupiler Pro League1-4
2024-03-29GentStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League5-1
2024-03-02Standard LiegeGentJupiler Pro League4-2
2023-10-29GentStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League3-1
2023-06-03GentStandard LiegeJupiler Pro League3-1
2023-05-06Standard LiegeGentJupiler Pro League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gent vs Standard Liege odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 26.4%, away 20.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.61 4.62
Bet365 1.80 3.40 4.20
BetVictor 1.75 3.60 4.50
Betano 1.83 3.75 4.70
Betfair 1.73 3.30 4.40
Marathonbet 1.76 3.52 4.50
Pinnacle 1.81 3.67 4.73
SBO 1.75 3.37 4.20
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.76 ▼ -0.37
X 3.52 ▲ +0.12
2 4.50 ▲ +1.00

14 snapshots recorded, from .