Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

1 – 0 Full time

32′Johannes Schenk
36′Chris LokesaJosua Lusamba
52′Jamie Roche
57′James Willy Ndjeungoue
58′Thierry Ambrose
60′Jearl MargarithaFerre Slegers
60′Moïse Elohim Victoire KaboréArno Verschueren
73′Brecht Dejaegere
73′Christophe Janssens
74′Shandre CampbellSuf Podgoreanu
74′Nzubechi Sixtus OgbuehiGoduine Koyalipou
82′Christian BrulsLennart Mertens
82′Sieben DewaeleGuillaume De Schryver
83′Jamie Roche
87′Brecht DejaegereBoris Lambert
87′Thierry AmbroseKen Masui
90′Jellert Van LandschootLenn De Smet

Guldensporen Stadion, KortrijkReferee: Yusuke Araki

Kortrijk 30%
Draw 26%
SK Beveren 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
43 Possession % 57
2 Corners 4
20 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
321 Accurate passes 422

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kortrijk vs SK Beveren

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKortrijkDrawSK Beveren
Model14.6%22.1%63.3%
Market35.4%26.8%37.8%
Final30.2%25.7%44.2%
Edge-20.7%-4.8%+25.5%

Confidence: Low

Why SK Beveren

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices SK Beveren below the model: +25.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kortrijk ↓ / SK Beveren → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 11% 7% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Kortrijk and SK Beveren expected goals

Kortrijk 0.91
SK Beveren 2.07

Total expected goals: 2.98

Kortrijk and SK Beveren attack and defence ratings

Kortrijk

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.31 +31%

SK Beveren

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren: result vs prediction

Kortrijk 1 – 0 SK Beveren

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SK Beveren 44.2% 2.26 +25.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 SK Beveren win 40.1% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kortrijk30.2%
Draw25.7%
SK Beveren44.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%
Both teams to scoreYes53.3%
No46.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.8%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1SK Beveren win40.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss36.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.9%
1-110.5%
1-29.9%

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren stats

Kortrijk and SK Beveren recent form

newest first
Kortrijk LLLLLL
SK Beveren WWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kortrijk and SK Beveren going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kortrijk record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.

SK Beveren record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Kortrijk wins 0Draws 5SK Beveren wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11SK BeverenKortrijkChallenger Pro League1-0
2025-10-05KortrijkSK BeverenChallenger Pro League1-3
2023-07-01KortrijkSK BeverenFriendlies Clubs0-2
2021-04-11SK BeverenKortrijkJupiler Pro League3-4
2020-08-09KortrijkSK BeverenJupiler Pro League1-3
2020-02-12SK BeverenKortrijkJupiler Pro League1-2
2019-11-09KortrijkSK BeverenJupiler Pro League1-3
2019-02-23SK BeverenKortrijkJupiler Pro League2-6

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kortrijk vs SK Beveren odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 26.8%, away 37.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.72 3.51 2.54
Bet365 2.62 3.30 2.40
BetVictor 2.63 3.50 2.45
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.65
Betfair 2.50 3.50 2.40
Marathonbet 2.65 3.42 2.47
Pinnacle 2.78 3.57 2.54
SBO 2.54 3.28 2.42
William Hill 2.62 3.30 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.02
X 3.45 ▲ +0.05
2 2.45 ▼ -0.05

10 snapshots recorded, from .