Jupiler Pro League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
KV Mechelen
vs
Anderlecht
0 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Giulian Biancone | ||
| 37′ | Giulian BianconeAndrew Omobamidele | ||
| 40′ | Andrew Omobamidele | ||
| 43′ | Tawfik Bentayeb | ||
| 60′ | Ilias Koutsoupias | ||
| 72′ | Danylo SikanTristan Degreef | ||
| 72′ | Ilias KoutsoupiasRomeo Amane | ||
| 72′ | Oliver AntmanThelo Aasgaard | ||
| 74′ | Marco DecherfBenito Raman | ||
| 75′ | Simion MichezBill Leeroy Antonio | ||
| 80′ | Fredrik Hammar | ||
| 81′ | Mike EerdhuijzenCedric Van Meirvenne | ||
| 82′ | Bouke BoersmaMalcolm Bendele Lohunanu-Mbasi | ||
| 82′ | Leo Petrot | ||
| 88′ | Dennis PraetBilal Bafdili | ||
| 90′ | Frederik Vanderbiest |
KV Mechelen
20%
Draw
24%
Anderlecht
56%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 34 | Possession % | 66 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 178 | Accurate passes | 487 |
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
| Probability | KV Mechelen | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.2% | 21.1% | 64.7% |
| Market | 22.4% | 24.9% | 52.6% |
| Final | 20.4% | 24.0% | 55.7% |
| Edge | -8.3% | -3.8% | +12.1% |
Why Anderlecht
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Anderlecht below the model: +12.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
5%
KV Mechelen and Anderlecht expected goals
KV Mechelen
0.94
Anderlecht
2.18
Total expected goals: 3.12
KV Mechelen and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings
KV Mechelen
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.65 +65%
Anderlecht
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht: result vs prediction
KV Mechelen 0 – 1 Anderlecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 55.7% | 1.80 | +12.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KV Mechelen | 20.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Anderlecht | 55.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 35.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.5% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht stats
KV Mechelen and Anderlecht recent form
| KV Mechelen |
LDLDLL |
| Anderlecht |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KV Mechelen and Anderlecht going into this match
KV Mechelen record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Anderlecht record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2KV Mechelen wins
2Draws
6Anderlecht wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-15 | KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 4-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2024-02-01 | KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | 2-3 |
| 2022-10-09 | KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.1%, draw 26.0%, away 51.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 4.35 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| 888Sport | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 3.72 | 1.76 |
| Pinnacle | 4.46 | 3.89 | 1.80 |
| SBO | 3.28 | 3.09 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 4.30 | 3.45 | 1.82 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.17 ▲ +0.61
X
3.76 ▲ +0.10
2
1.78 ▼ -0.25
14 snapshots recorded, from .