Jupiler Pro League · Full time ·Matchday 5

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo

0 – 4 Full time

7′Isa Sakamoto
24′Cisse Sandra
27′Shunsuke Saito
29′Adeshina AyodeleBouke Boersma
42′Isa Sakamoto
45′Cedric Van MeirvenneBill Leeroy Antonio
67′Shunsuke Saito
73′Shunsuke SaitoNikola Storm
77′Keano Vanrafelghem
78′José Martínez MarsàBenito Raman
78′Dennis PraetMarco Decherf
82′Marco Decherf
84′Norman BassettePape Daouda Diong
86′Fredrik Hammar
88′Nikola Storm
89′Mike EerdhuijzenMassimo Decoene
90′Cameron CongreveNaoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
90′Isa SakamotoThomas Van Den Keybus

Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne, MechelenReferee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium

KV Mechelen 45%
Draw 26%
KVC Westerlo 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 6
56 Possession % 44
5 Corners 6
15 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
343 Accurate passes 261

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKV MechelenDrawKVC Westerlo
Model41.9%22.9%35.2%
Market45.6%26.5%27.9%
Final44.7%25.6%29.7%
Edge-3.7%-3.6%+7.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KV Mechelen ↓ / KVC Westerlo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo expected goals

KV Mechelen 1.98
KVC Westerlo 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.78

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo attack and defence ratings

KV Mechelen

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.56 +56%

KVC Westerlo

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.58 +58%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo: result vs prediction

KV Mechelen 0 – 4 KVC Westerlo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Jupiler Pro League

Before and after this match

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KV Mechelen 44.7% 2.24 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.8% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KV Mechelen44.7%
Draw25.6%
KVC Westerlo29.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.8%
Under 2.527.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.8%
No27.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.3%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1KV Mechelen win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
2-18.0%
1-27.3%

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo stats

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo recent form

newest first
KV Mechelen DLDLLD
KVC Westerlo DLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KV Mechelen and KVC Westerlo going into this match

league record before kick-off

KV Mechelen record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5KV Mechelen wins 3Draws 2KVC Westerlo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-25KV MechelenKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League1-1
2025-08-09KVC WesterloKV MechelenJupiler Pro League0-1
2025-04-26KVC WesterloKV MechelenJupiler Pro League2-2
2025-04-22KV MechelenKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League2-3
2024-12-20KVC WesterloKV MechelenJupiler Pro League1-1
2024-08-03KV MechelenKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League2-4
2024-05-18KVC WesterloKV MechelenJupiler Pro League0-2
2024-04-13KV MechelenKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League3-2
2024-03-08KV MechelenKVC WesterloJupiler Pro League3-1
2023-08-26KVC WesterloKV MechelenJupiler Pro League2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KV Mechelen vs KVC Westerlo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 26.1%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.10 3.65 3.10
1xBet 2.09 3.56 3.48
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.00 3.70 3.30
Betano 2.15 3.65 3.25
Betfair 2.00 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.15 3.70 3.15
Marathonbet 2.04 3.48 3.40
Pinnacle 2.10 3.60 3.56
SBO 2.09 3.17 2.80
Superbet 2.15 3.70 3.15
Unibet 2.10 3.45 3.30
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.44
X 3.53 ▼ -0.07
2 3.35 ▲ +0.71

13 snapshots recorded, from .