Cercle Brugge
vs
Lommel United
0 – 1 Full time
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United
| Probability | Cercle Brugge | Draw | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.1% | 22.6% | 53.3% |
| Market | 61.8% | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| Final | 52.4% | 21.6% | 26.1% |
| Edge | -37.8% | +1.4% | +36.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cercle Brugge and Lommel United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.50
Cercle Brugge and Lommel United attack and defence ratings
Cercle Brugge
Lommel United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United: result vs prediction
Cercle Brugge 0 – 1 Lommel United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 52.4% | 1.91 | -37.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cercle Brugge | 52.4% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Lommel United | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cercle Brugge win | 10.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.3% | |
| Loss | 75.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 6.7% |
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United stats
Cercle Brugge and Lommel United recent form
| Cercle Brugge |
LDDLLW |
| Lommel United |
WLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 21.2%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 5.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.61 | 5.55 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.98 | 4.78 |
| Superbet | 1.55 | 4.55 | 5.30 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .