Anderlecht
vs
Kairat Almaty
3 – 0 Full time
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty
| Probability | Anderlecht | Draw | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 26.7% | 31.9% |
| Market | 70.1% | 18.9% | 11.0% |
| Final | 62.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -28.6% | +7.8% | +20.9% |
Why Anderlecht
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty attack and defence ratings
Anderlecht
Kairat Almaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty: result vs prediction
Anderlecht 3 – 0 Kairat Almaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Play-offs fixtures
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- Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
- Universitatea Craiova v Ararat-Armenia — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats
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Before and after this match
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 62.9% | 1.59 | -28.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 62.9% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Kairat Almaty | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty stats
Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty recent form
| Anderlecht |
WLWWWW |
| Kairat Almaty |
LWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty going into this match
Anderlecht record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat Almaty | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.1%, draw 18.9%, away 11.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 4.80 | 8.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.34 | 9.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 5.30 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.20 | 8.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.00 | 8.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.26 | 7.78 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.26 | 6.76 |
| Superbet | 1.36 | 5.15 | 8.00 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .