Yelimay Semey
vs
Kairat Almaty
0 – 2 Full time
| 27′ | Erkin Tapalov | ||
| 32′ | M. Gual | ||
| 35′ | L. Mata | ||
| 56′ | Roger Murillo | ||
| 59′ | F. PlaccaR. Murtazaev | ||
| 59′ | R. MurilloI. Sviridov | ||
| 60′ | ChinaA. Zhaksylykov | ||
| 67′ | Jaakko Oksanen | ||
| 69′ | Duván Palacios | ||
| 70′ | D. PalacioZ. Payruz | ||
| 75′ | Aleksandr Shirobokov | ||
| 81′ | Oiva Jukkola | ||
| 82′ | A. TyulyubayM. Omatay | ||
| 84′ | Ivan Konovalov | ||
| 85′ | EdmilsonO. Baybek | ||
| 89′ | M. GualM. Birkurmanov | ||
| 90′ | O. JukkolaA. Tuyakbaev |
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty
| Probability | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 27.1% | 26.5% |
| Market | 29.1% | 25.8% | 45.1% |
| Final | 33.4% | 26.1% | 40.5% |
| Edge | +17.3% | +1.4% | -18.6% |
Why Kairat Almaty
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty attack and defence ratings
Yelimay Semey
Kairat Almaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty: result vs prediction
Yelimay Semey 0 – 2 Kairat Almaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 40.5% | 2.47 | -18.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 33.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Kairat Almaty | 40.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty stats
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty recent form
| Yelimay Semey |
DWDDLD |
| Kairat Almaty |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty going into this match
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kairat Almaty record
- They have won 16 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Kairat Almaty | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Kairat Almaty | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-18 | Yelimay Semey | Kairat Almaty | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Kairat Almaty | Yelimay Semey | Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Yelimay Semey | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 25.8%, away 45.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.61 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.46 | 1.92 |
| SBO | 3.01 | 3.18 | 1.99 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .