Kaisar
vs
Okzhetpes
2 – 3 Full time
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaisar vs Okzhetpes
| Probability | Kaisar | Draw | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.6% | 27.9% | 35.4% |
| Market | 33.6% | 27.5% | 38.9% |
| Final | 34.4% | 27.6% | 38.1% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +0.5% | -3.5% |
Why Okzhetpes
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaisar and Okzhetpes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Kaisar and Okzhetpes attack and defence ratings
Kaisar
Okzhetpes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes: result vs prediction
Kaisar 2 – 3 Okzhetpes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 38.1% | 2.63 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaisar | 34.4% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Okzhetpes | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Okzhetpes win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes stats
Kaisar and Okzhetpes recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaisar and Okzhetpes going into this match
Kaisar record
- They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Okzhetpes | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Okzhetpes | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Kaisar | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-01 | Kaisar | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-25 | Okzhetpes | Kaisar | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Okzhetpes | Kaisar | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Kaisar | Okzhetpes | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2022-04-06 | Kaisar | Okzhetpes | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2020-10-02 | Kaisar | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaisar vs Okzhetpes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 27.5%, away 38.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.32 | 2.17 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.33 |
| Superbet | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.37 |
| Unibet | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .