Okzhetpes
vs
Ordabasy
2 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 26′ | E. AstanovLeo Natel | ||
| 49′ | N. Buribaev | ||
| 52′ | Nurgaini Buribayev | ||
| 65′ | Z. MukhametkhanovV. Vomenko | ||
| 65′ | V. SovpelS. Mukanov | ||
| 66′ | Y. VakulkoN. Antic | ||
| 72′ | Marcinho | ||
| 74′ | Léo Natel | ||
| 77′ | Aleksa Amanović | ||
| 79′ | Léo Assunpção | ||
| 82′ | Leo Assunpcao | ||
| 86′ | N. BuribaevE. Nurgaliyev | ||
| 86′ | T. ZhangylyshbayS. Umarov | ||
| 89′ | M. CapatinaT. Keita | ||
| 90′ | Vladimir Vomenko | ||
| 90′ | B. AbdumannonovZ. Zhaksylykov |
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy
| Probability | Okzhetpes | Draw | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.0% | 22.6% | 57.5% |
| Market | 18.9% | 23.3% | 57.8% |
| Final | 19.2% | 23.1% | 57.7% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
Why Ordabasy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Okzhetpes and Ordabasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Okzhetpes and Ordabasy attack and defence ratings
Okzhetpes
Ordabasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy: result vs prediction
Okzhetpes 2 – 1 Ordabasy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ordabasy | 57.7% | 1.73 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 19.2% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Ordabasy | 57.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ordabasy win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy stats
Okzhetpes and Ordabasy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Okzhetpes and Ordabasy going into this match
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ordabasy record
- They have won 17 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 7-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Okzhetpes | Ordabasy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-10 | Okzhetpes | Ordabasy | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2023-05-21 | Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2020-11-30 | Okzhetpes | Ordabasy | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2020-03-07 | Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-17 | Okzhetpes | Ordabasy | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2019-05-31 | Ordabasy | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Okzhetpes vs Ordabasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.0%, draw 24.1%, away 55.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.11 | 4.07 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.65 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.70 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 4.61 | 4.01 | 1.56 |
| Superbet | 3.85 | 3.70 | 1.78 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.65 | 1.63 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .