Kazakhstan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 25

Aktobe vs Zhenys

1 – 0 Full time

11′Nani
30′A. Saulet
46′A. SauletV. Naumets
52′I. Kuat
54′L. Imnadze
55′M. Bystrov
62′S. OjoA. Shushenachev
69′T. ErlanovJ. Atanasov
77′S. ZharynbetovB. Madelkhan
78′J. Atanasov
81′A. Shushenachev
84′M. BystrovA. Adilov
84′L. ImnadzeY. Besengaliyev
89′NaniT. Kusyapov
89′A. FilipovicP. Kpozo
90′I. Saravanja
90′A. Zarutskiy
90′PibeE. Seydakhmet
90′D. TopalovT. Dosmagambetov

Koblandy Batyr Stadium, AktobeReferee: S. Nozhenko

Aktobe 49%
Draw 27%
Zhenys 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aktobe vs Zhenys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aktobe vs Zhenys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAktobeDrawZhenys
Model41.0%28.4%30.6%
Market51.6%26.6%21.8%
Final49.0%27.0%24.0%
Edge-10.6%+1.8%+8.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aktobe ↓ / Zhenys → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Aktobe and Zhenys expected goals

Aktobe 1.43
Zhenys 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.64

Aktobe and Zhenys attack and defence ratings

Aktobe

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Zhenys

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aktobe vs Zhenys: result vs prediction

Aktobe 1 – 0 Zhenys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Kazakhstan Premier League

Before and after this match

Aktobe vs Zhenys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aktobe 49.0% 2.04 -10.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aktobe49.0%
Draw27.0%
Zhenys24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.3%
Under 2.550.7%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Aktobe win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-08.9%
2-18.8%

Aktobe vs Zhenys stats

Aktobe and Zhenys recent form

newest first
Aktobe LWDLWW
Zhenys WWDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aktobe and Zhenys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aktobe record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zhenys record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Aktobe vs Zhenys head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Aktobe wins 0Draws 3Zhenys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19ZhenysAktobeKazakhstan Premier League1-0
2025-08-03AktobeZhenysKazakhstan Premier League0-2
2025-05-03ZhenysAktobeKazakhstan Premier League0-1
2025-04-13ZhenysAktobeCup1-0
2024-08-04ZhenysAktobePremier League1-2
2024-03-31AktobeZhenysPremier League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aktobe vs Zhenys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 27.2%, away 23.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.52 4.32
Bet365 1.75 3.50 3.80
Betano 2.02 3.30 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.40
Dafabet 2.00 3.30 3.40
Marathonbet 1.75 3.38 4.15
Pinnacle 1.75 3.40 4.14
Superbet 2.02 3.30 3.40
William Hill 1.80 3.25 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▼ -0.27
X 3.40 ▲ +0.15
2 4.14 ▲ +0.64

9 snapshots recorded, from .