Zhetysu
vs
Irtysh
1 – 0 Full time
| 44′ | R. Karimov | ||
| 45′ | S. Muzhikov | ||
| 46′ | Z. SultaniyazovT. Mukhametzhanov | ||
| 47′ | T. Mosiashvili | ||
| 50′ | D. Slambekov | ||
| 56′ | D. SlambekovY. Shimamura | ||
| 61′ | M. Zivanovic | ||
| 65′ | V. Shvyrev | ||
| 67′ | V. ShvyrevS. Abzalov | ||
| 67′ | M. KhalmatovN. Baybosynov | ||
| 67′ | J. PoeO. A. Falaye | ||
| 78′ | R. KarimovR. Yudenkov | ||
| 86′ | M. Zivanovic | ||
| 88′ | A. Baltabekov | ||
| 90′ | T. Mukhametzhanov | ||
| 90′ | M. ZivanovicS. Anuarbek | ||
| 90′ | M. ZhakipbayevS. Jovanovic |
Zhetysu vs Irtysh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhetysu vs Irtysh
| Probability | Zhetysu | Draw | Irtysh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 27.7% | 44.7% |
| Market | 35.0% | 29.1% | 35.8% |
| Final | 33.1% | 28.8% | 38.1% |
| Edge | -7.5% | -1.4% | +8.9% |
Why Irtysh
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Irtysh below the model: +8.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhetysu and Irtysh expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Zhetysu and Irtysh attack and defence ratings
Zhetysu
Irtysh
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zhetysu vs Irtysh: result vs prediction
Zhetysu 1 – 0 Irtysh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhetysu vs Irtysh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Irtysh | 38.1% | 2.63 | +8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 33.1% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Irtysh | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Irtysh win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Zhetysu vs Irtysh stats
Zhetysu and Irtysh recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhetysu and Irtysh going into this match
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Irtysh record
- They have won 4 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhetysu vs Irtysh head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Irtysh | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-05 | Zhetysu | Irtysh | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2019-07-13 | Zhetysu | Irtysh | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2019-05-01 | Irtysh | Zhetysu | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2018-08-19 | Zhetysu | Irtysh | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2018-07-01 | Irtysh | Zhetysu | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2018-04-22 | Zhetysu | Irtysh | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zhetysu vs Irtysh odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.0%, draw 28.6%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.24 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.10 | 2.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.06 | 2.56 |
| Superbet | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.15 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .