Yelimay Semey
vs
Zhetysu
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | M. Zivanovic | ||
| 17′ | F. Placca | ||
| 21′ | R. Murtazaev | ||
| 26′ | A. Ashirbek | ||
| 50′ | D. Luna | ||
| 59′ | A. BakhtiyarovZ. Payruz | ||
| 59′ | R. MurtazaevI. Sviridov |
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu
| Probability | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| Market | 61.9% | 21.8% | 16.3% |
| Final | 60.7% | 22.5% | 16.8% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
Why Yelimay Semey
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.97.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu attack and defence ratings
Yelimay Semey
Zhetysu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu: result vs prediction
Yelimay Semey 2 – 1 Zhetysu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 60.7% | 1.65 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 60.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Zhetysu | 16.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yelimay Semey win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu stats
Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu recent form
| Yelimay Semey |
LLDWDD |
| Zhetysu |
WLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yelimay Semey and Zhetysu going into this match
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Zhetysu | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Yelimay Semey | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Zhetysu | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-03 | Zhetysu | Yelimay Semey | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-06-30 | Yelimay Semey | Zhetysu | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yelimay Semey vs Zhetysu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.0%, draw 22.6%, away 16.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.43 | 5.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.25 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.45 | 5.19 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.85 | 5.42 |
| Superbet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 5.60 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .