Zhetysu
vs
Kaspiy
0 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | M. ZhakipbayevA. Adakhadziev | ||
| 50′ | A. Adakhadziev | ||
| 60′ | K. SyllaR. Abylaykhan | ||
| 61′ | V. Klimovich | ||
| 72′ | N. NdombasiI. Umaev | ||
| 72′ | D. UsenovM. Serikbay | ||
| 72′ | N. NurbolM. Zivanovic | ||
| 80′ | N. AnuarbekovV. Shvyrev | ||
| 80′ | M. TaykenovD. Nechayev | ||
| 85′ | S. AbzalovD. Kashken | ||
| 85′ | A. AdakhadzievS. Anuarbek | ||
| 90′ | D. Kashken |
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhetysu vs Kaspiy
| Probability | Zhetysu | Draw | Kaspiy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 26.5% | 44.4% |
| Market | 40.4% | 29.1% | 30.6% |
| Final | 37.6% | 28.4% | 34.0% |
| Edge | -11.2% | -2.6% | +13.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhetysu and Kaspiy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Zhetysu and Kaspiy attack and defence ratings
Zhetysu
Kaspiy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy: result vs prediction
Zhetysu 0 – 1 Kaspiy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 37.6% | 2.66 | -11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 37.6% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Kaspiy | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhetysu win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.2% | |
| Loss | 70.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 7.6% |
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy stats
Zhetysu and Kaspiy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhetysu and Kaspiy going into this match
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaspiy record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Kaspiy | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-16 | Kaspiy | Zhetysu | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-06-04 | Zhetysu | Kaspiy | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2021-08-01 | Zhetysu | Kaspiy | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2021-07-25 | Kaspiy | Zhetysu | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2021-06-12 | Zhetysu | Kaspiy | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2021-04-04 | Kaspiy | Zhetysu | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2020-11-30 | Zhetysu | Kaspiy | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2020-03-08 | Kaspiy | Zhetysu | Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zhetysu vs Kaspiy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 29.1%, away 30.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.26 | 3.08 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.94 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.12 | 2.97 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.00 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .