Kairat Almaty
vs
Zhetysu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kairat Almaty
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu
| Probability | Kairat Almaty | Draw | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.5% | 21.7% | 11.8% |
| Market | 73.5% | 16.4% | 10.1% |
| Final | 71.8% | 17.7% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -7.0% | +5.3% | +1.7% |
Why Kairat Almaty
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu match preview
Kairat Almaty faces Zhetysu in the Kazakhstan Premier League with a strong probability of victory at 67%. The expected goals for Kairat Almaty stand at 2.04, while Zhetysu is projected to score only 0.75. Recent form shows Kairat Almaty with two wins in their last six matches, while Zhetysu has struggled, losing four of their last six games.
In their last three encounters, Kairat Almaty has secured one win and two draws against Zhetysu, who has yet to claim a victory in this matchup. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Kairat Almaty, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kairat Almaty and Zhetysu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Kairat Almaty and Zhetysu attack and defence ratings
Kairat Almaty
Zhetysu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 71.8% | 1.39 | -7.0% | 1.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 71.8% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Zhetysu | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win | 42.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 33.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.3% |
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu stats
Kairat Almaty and Zhetysu recent form
| Kairat Almaty |
LLWWWL |
| Zhetysu |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kairat Almaty and Zhetysu season so far
Kairat Almaty record
- They have won 17 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-17 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-09 | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2021-10-30 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-08 | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2021-07-10 | Zhetysu | Kairat Almaty | Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.5%, draw 16.4%, away 10.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22 | 6.46 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.25 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 5.15 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .